Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ - LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Futbol
M
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
0 : 0
Finished
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ - LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ July 11, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 2.80 / X 3.20 / 2 2.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 12.8%
1 31.7%
X 27.7%
2 40.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Form over 10 matches (SStats)
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.52 Conceded 1.78 xG 2.10 xGA 1.01
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
W-D-L 8-0-2 Scored 1.82 Conceded 0.81 xG 1.49 xGA 1.47

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data โ€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
Rating 1691
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
Rating 1802

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model โ€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction โ€ข nb-bet.com

Score prediction

MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ 2 : 1 LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
12.72
X4.19
21.98

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference โ€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ - LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ

Form 4/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.18 Fonbet ยท line only
X 3.20 Fonbet ยท line only
1 2.80 Fonbet ยท line only
Double chance
12 1.30 Fonbet ยท line only
1X 1.60 Fonbet ยท line only
X2 1.38 Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 0 1.45 Fonbet ยท line only
1 0 2.55 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.92 Fonbet ยท line only
Under 2.5 1.78 Fonbet ยท line only
Both teams to score
No 3.36 market consensus ยท line only
Yes 1.30 market consensus ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 3.36 29.8%
yes 1.30 76.9%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.30 76.9%
1x 1.60 62.5%
x2 1.38 72.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
3.07 32.6%
X 2.85 35.1%
2.36 42.4%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1.5 1.62 61.7%
Under 1.5 2.16 46.3%
Match center
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
W L W W
08.07 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ 2:1 Tsele ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
04.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ 2:3 Kechkemet ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
01.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ 3:1 Vashash ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
26.06 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
MTK Budapesht ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ 4:2 Kazintsbartsikay ๐Ÿ‡ญ๐Ÿ‡บ
3 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.8 Scored
1.8 Conceded
9 Points
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
W W
05.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 2:1 Koper ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฎ
30.06 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
LNZ Cherkascy ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ 5:1 Shturm ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡นShturm ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡น
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
3.5 Scored
1.0 Conceded
6 Points