Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Nansi 🇫🇷 - Troyes

Futbol
N
Nansi 🇫🇷
1 : 3
Finished
T
Troyes

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Nansi 🇫🇷 - Troyes 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Troyes.

Line favourite market consensus: Troyes. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.15 / X 3.46 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Nansi 🇫🇷 29.0% / X 26.4% / Troyes 44.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 28.9%
X 26.4%
2 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 3.40 Marathonbet
X 3.60 Dafabet
2 2.06 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Nansi 🇫🇷
W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 3.24 Conceded 1.06 xG 0.90 xGA 1.86
Troyes
W-D-L 2-4-4 Scored 1.35 Conceded 0.96 xG 1.00 xGA 1.53

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Nansi 🇫🇷
Rating 1719
Troyes
Rating 1592

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Nansi 🇫🇷 2 : 2 Troyes
13.40
X3.48
22.06

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Nansi 🇫🇷 - Troyes

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.07 Fonbet · line only
X 3.50 Fonbet · line only
1 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.67 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Dafabet
П1 3.42 29.2% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.10 32.3% 3.25 30.8%
Х 3.45 29.0% 3.40 29.4% 3.45 29.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8%
П2 2.06 48.5% 2.05 48.8% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.05 48.8% 2.06 48.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.25 44.4% 2.29 43.7%
yes 1.55 64.5% 1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.22 82.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0%
1x 1.55 64.5% 1.65 60.6% 1.67 59.9%
x2 1.25 80.0% 1.32 75.8% 1.30 76.9%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 13.00 7.7%
0_1 9.00 11.1%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 10.00 10.0%
0_3 15.00 6.7%
0_4 41.00 2.4%
0_5 80.00 1.3%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 11.00 9.1%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 7.50 13.3%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 75.00 1.3%
Match center
Nansi 🇫🇷
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Nansi 🇫🇷 8:0 FK Mamer (Lyuk)
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
8.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyNansi 🇫🇷 - Troyes

Nansi 🇫🇷
0 matches total
Troyes
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history