Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
08.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

NEC Nijmegen - Duysburg 🇩🇪

Futbol
N
NEC Nijmegen
0 : 1
Finished
D
Duysburg 🇩🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction NEC Nijmegen - Duysburg 🇩🇪 8 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like NEC Nijmegen.

Line favourite market consensus: NEC Nijmegen. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 4.43 / 2 6.13
  • 1X2 market: NEC Nijmegen 64.6% / X 20.5% / Duysburg 🇩🇪 14.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.3%
1 64.7%
X 20.5%
2 14.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.43 Unibet
X 4.80 BetVictor
2 7.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
NEC Nijmegen
W-D-L 3-3-4 Scored 1.61 Conceded 1.37 xG 1.74 xGA 1.38
Duysburg 🇩🇪
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 2.63 Conceded 1.04 xG 2.21 xGA 1.43

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
NEC Nijmegen
Rating 1728
Duysburg 🇩🇪
Rating 1733

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

NEC Nijmegen 2 : 1 Duysburg 🇩🇪
11.42
X4.65
26.74

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 08.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

NEC Nijmegen - Duysburg 🇩🇪

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.12 Fonbet · line only
X 6.20 Fonbet · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 5.00 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 4.05 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 5.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.07 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 6.50 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.40 71.4% 1.43 69.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.42 70.4% 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4%
Х 4.33 23.1% 4.55 22.0% 4.33 23.1% 4.25 23.5% 4.75 21.1% 4.40 22.7%
П2 5.50 18.2% 6.74 14.8% 6.25 16.0% 5.70 17.5% 6.50 15.4% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 3.35 29.9%
yes 1.25 80.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.09 91.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.02 98.0% 1.09 91.7% 5.00 20.0%
x2 2.40 41.7% 2.70 37.0% 1.03 97.1%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -1 5.00 20.0%
П1 -1.5 2.00 50.0% 2.03 49.3% 9.00 11.1%
П2 +1 4.05 24.7%
П2 +1.5 1.67 59.9% 1.70 58.8% 12.00 8.3%
П2 +2 11.50 8.7%
П2 +2.5 3.35 29.9%
П2 +3.5 7.30 13.7%
П2 -1 1.12 89.3%
П2 -1.5 1.03 97.1%
П2 -2 1.25 80.0%
П2 -2.5 1.01 99.0%
П2 -3 1.13 88.5%
П2 -3.5 1.06 94.3%
П2 0 1.03 97.1%
Match center
NEC Nijmegen
D
01.07 15:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
NEC Nijmegen 1:1 De Treffers/Kegro 🇳🇱
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
1 Points