Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 — odds 5.30 · edge +4.7% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱 July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 4.05 / 2 1.49
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
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Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 2.23 44.8% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 1.61 62.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.10 90.9% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.19 84.0% |
| 1x | 2.20 45.5% | 2.47 40.5% | 1.01 99.0% |
| x2 | 1.05 95.2% | 1.13 88.5% | 5.10 19.6% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.40 18.5% | |
| X | 2.40 41.7% |
| 2.01 49.8% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.24 80.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 2.21 45.3% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.61 27.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.59 62.9% |
Full head-to-head historyNovi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱