Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
03.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱

Futbol
N
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸
1 : 0
Finished
M
Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 — odds 5.30 · edge +4.7% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱 July 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.12 / X 4.05 / 2 1.49

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 81.1%
1 49.3%
X 13.6%
2 37.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 9 books
1 5.91 1xBet
X 4.40 Marathonbet
2 1.58 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸
W-D-L 2-1-7 Scored 1.05 Conceded 2.67 xG 0.88 xGA 2.07
Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 1.82 Conceded 0.51 xG 1.76 xGA 1.01

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Match center

Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 - Makkabi Tel-Aviv 🇮🇱

Form 2/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.47 market consensus · line only
X 4.05 Fonbet · line only
1 1.12 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.19 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.10 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.72 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.10 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 2.23 44.8%
yes 2.10 47.6% 1.61 62.1%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9% 1.18 84.8% 1.19 84.0%
1x 2.20 45.5% 2.47 40.5% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.05 95.2% 1.13 88.5% 5.10 19.6%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.40 18.5%
X 2.40 41.7%
2.01 49.8%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 0.5 1.24 80.7%
Over 1.5 2.21 45.3%
Under 0.5 3.61 27.7%
Under 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸
W D
01.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 1:0 Mladost 🇷🇸
26.06 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Novi Belgrad 🇷🇸 1:1 Borats Banya Luka (Big)
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points