UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

04.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 07:00 UTC

Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Novi Pazar - Akhmat 🇷🇺

Futbol

Novi Pazar

1 : 1

Finished

Akhmat 🇷🇺

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Novi Pazar - Akhmat 🇷🇺 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 12.00 / X 1.09 / 2 12.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%

1 7.7%

X 84.6%

2 7.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Novi Pazar

W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.18 Conceded 1.64 xG 1.35 xGA 1.17

Akhmat 🇷🇺

W-D-L 7-1-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 0.80 xG 1.80 xGA 1.13

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Novi Pazar

Rating 1564

Akhmat 🇷🇺

Rating 1789

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Radomir Antich

Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC

Match center

Novi Pazar - Akhmat 🇷🇺

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Нови Пазар - Akhmat, 4 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Клубные товарищеские матчи 2026. Нови Пазар - Akhmat, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

Form 1/0 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 1.09 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 6.10 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.20 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 2.85 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.42 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.90 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 4.20 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.18 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	4.20 23.8%
yes	1.18 84.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	6.10 16.4%
1x	1.20 83.3%
x2	1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.37 73.0%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.90 52.6%
	4.80 20.8%
	6.30 15.9%
	2.65 37.7%
	2.85 35.1%
	8.50 11.8%
	8.00 12.5%
	1.80 55.6%
	1.15 87.0%
	1.08 92.6%
	1.42 70.4%

Total

Outcome	Fonbet
Over 3	2.95 33.9%
Over 3.5	9.00 11.1%
Over 4	2.80 35.7%
Over 4.5	6.80 14.7%
Over 5.5	8.00 12.5%
Under 3	1.35 74.1%
Under 3.5	1.04 96.2%
Under 4	1.38 72.5%
Under 4.5	1.07 93.5%
Under 5.5	1.05 95.2%

Match center

Novi Pazar

01.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies

Novi Pazar 1:2 Machva 🇷🇸

0 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

2.0 Conceded

0 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNovi Pazar - Akhmat 🇷🇺

Novi Pazar

0 matches total

Akhmat 🇷🇺

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Novi Pazar

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Akhmat 🇷🇺

0 Games 6

0 Wins 4

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 1

0 Scored 12

0 Conceded 6

0 Points 13

0 Attacks 0

0 Dangerous attacks 0

0 Big chances 0

0 Shots on goal 0

0 Shots on target 0

упреждения 0 0 Sendoffs 0.17 Голы Доминик Сади 1:0 5' Исмаэл Силва 1:1 27' Наказания 19' 44' 57' 81'

Нови Пазар Akhmat 0 Игры 6 0 Победы 4 0 Ничьи 1 0 Поражения 1 0 Забито 12 0 Пропущено 6 0 Очки 13 0 Атаки 0 0 Опасные атаки 0 0 Голевые моменты 0 0 Удары по воротам 0 0 Удары в створ 0 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 0 Угловые 0 0 Оффсайды 0 0 Фолы 0 0 % владения мячом 0 0 Warnings 0 0 Sendoffs 0.17 Голы Доминик Сади 1:0 5' Исмаэл Силва 1:1 27' Наказания 19' 44' 57' 81'