Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Ostrovets 🇵🇱 - Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱

Futbol
O
Ostrovets 🇵🇱
1 : 1
Finished
C
Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ostrovets 🇵🇱 - Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ostrovets 🇵🇱.

Line favourite market consensus: Ostrovets 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.37 / X 4.88 / 2 5.74
  • 1X2 market: Ostrovets 🇵🇱 65.7% / X 18.5% / Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱 15.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.9%
1 65.8%
X 18.5%
2 15.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 1.42 Pinnacle
X 5.40 Pinnacle
2 6.50 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Model form (Glicko)
Ostrovets 🇵🇱
Rating 1537
Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱
Rating 1581

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Ostrovets 🇵🇱 2 : 1 Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱
11.34
X5.15
26.16

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Ostrovets 🇵🇱 - Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 5.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.70 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.20 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.00 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.73 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet
П1 1.33 75.2% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.32 75.8%
Х 5.25 19.1% 5.00 20.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.40 22.7% 4.80 20.8% 5.25 19.1%
П2 6.27 16.0% 5.00 20.0% 5.70 17.5% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4% 6.05 16.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.00 50.0% 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.73 57.8% 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.12 89.3% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.18 84.8% 6.40 15.6%
x2 2.30 43.5% 2.50 40.0% 7.70 13.0%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 19.00 5.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_11 100.00 1.0%
0_2 36.00 2.8%
0_3 80.00 1.3%
0_4 100.00 1.0%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 8.00 12.5%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 15.00 6.7%
1_3 50.00 2.0%
1_4 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Ostrovets 🇵🇱
W
01.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Ostrovets 🇵🇱 6:0 Star Starachowice 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱
W
04.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Charni Polyanets 🇵🇱 2:0 Star Starachowice 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points