Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaka (Kip)

Futbol
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
1 : 0
Finished
AEK Larnaka (Kip)
AEK Larnaka (Kip)

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaka (Kip) 10 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Panathinaikos.

Line favourite market consensus: Panathinaikos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.09 / 2 4.27
  • 1X2 market: Panathinaikos 56.3% / X 22.3% / AEK Larnaka (Kip) 21.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.6%
1 56.3%
X 22.3%
2 21.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 13 books
1 1.66 Superbet
X 4.70 Unibet
2 5.40 Unibet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Panathinaikos
W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 2.11 Conceded 1.52 xG 1.64 xGA 1.43 Corners 2.0
AEK Larnaka (Kip)
W-D-L 1-4-5 Scored 1.39 Conceded 1.83 xG 1.50 xGA 1.43 Corners 3.5

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Panathinaikos
Rating 1680
AEK Larnaka (Kip)
Rating 1544

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Panathinaikos 1 : 1 AEK Larnaka (Kip)
11.65
X4.30
24.40

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaka (Kip)

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 9.00 Fonbet · line only
X 1.53 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.15 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.60 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.30 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
П1 1.62 61.7% 1.66 60.2% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.62 61.7%
Х 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.33 23.1% 4.10 24.4% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%
П2 4.33 23.1% 4.40 22.7% 3.75 26.7% 4.40 22.7% 4.33 23.1% 4.33 23.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.05 95.2% 2.38 42.0%
yes 7.30 13.7% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 2.40 41.7%
1x 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.07 93.5%
x2 2.03 49.3% 2.08 48.1% 9.50 10.5%

Exact Score

Outcome 10Bet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 15.00 6.7%
0_2 23.00 4.4%
0_3 51.00 2.0%
0_4 101.00 1.0%
1_0 8.50 11.8%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_2 12.00 8.3%
1_3 26.00 3.9%
1_4 67.00 1.5%
2_0 8.50 11.8%
2_1 7.00 14.3%
2_2 11.00 9.1%
2_3 23.00 4.4%
2_4 61.00 1.6%
3_0 12.00 8.3%
3_1 9.50 10.5%
3_2 13.00 7.7%
Match center
Panathinaikos
L
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Panathinaikos 1:3 Panatinaikos 🇬🇷Panatinaikos 🇬🇷
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points
AEK Larnaka (Kip)
L W
05.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Larnaka (Kip) 2:3 PAOK 🇬🇷
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
AEK Larnaka (Kip) 2:1 Khelmond 🇳🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points