Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Panathinaikos - Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·

Futbol
Panathinaikos
Panathinaikos
1 : 3
Finished
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Panathinaikos - Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡· July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Panathinaikos.

Line favourite market consensus: Panathinaikos. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.81 / X 3.89 / 2 3.74
  • 1X2 market: Panathinaikos 51.3% / X 23.9% / Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡· 24.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 51.3%
X 23.9%
2 24.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 2.08 Dafabet
X 3.60 Betfair
2 3.68 Marathonbet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Panathinaikos
W-D-L 5-4-1 Scored 2.20 Conceded 1.22 xG 1.64 xGA 1.40 Corners 2.0
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.71 Conceded 0.31 xG 2.03 xGA 1.02 Corners 6.0

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Panathinaikos
Rating 1733
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
Rating 1872

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Panathinaikos
No recent matches
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density β€” from matches played in our database. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 04.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Match center

Panathinaikos - Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·

Form 0/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.64 market consensus Β· line only
X 6.20 Fonbet Β· line only
1 1.15 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.10 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 4.80 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.70 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 3.80 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 2.30 market consensus Β· line only
1 -1 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.11 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 5.20 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
1.81 55.3% 1.80 55.6% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.79 55.9%
X 3.88 25.8% 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 4.10 24.4% 3.95 25.3% 3.88 25.8%
3.88 25.8% 3.50 28.6% 3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.70 27.0% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.50 40.0%
yes 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.23 81.3% 1.25 80.0% 1.10 90.9%
1x 1.32 75.8% 1.34 74.6% 1.04 96.2%
x2 1.64 61.0% 1.66 60.2% 4.80 20.8%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.40 71.4%
1.03 97.1%
1.57 63.7% 1.57 63.7%
3.80 26.3%
10.00 10.0%
6.00 16.7%
9.00 11.1%
2.70 37.0%
8.50 11.8%
2.60 38.5%
1.10 90.9%
1.03 97.1%
1.02 98.0%
1.01 99.0%
2.30 43.5% 2.30 43.5% 11.50 8.7%
Match center
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡·
W
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Panatinaikos πŸ‡¬πŸ‡· 4:0 Khelmond πŸ‡³πŸ‡±
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points