Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
09.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Polese 🇺🇦 - Jagiellonia Bialystok

Futbol
Polese 🇺🇦
Polese 🇺🇦
0 : 0
Finished
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Polese 🇺🇦 - Jagiellonia Bialystok 9 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Line favourite market consensus: Jagiellonia Bialystok. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.65 / X 3.88 / 2 2.16
  • 1X2 market: Polese 🇺🇦 34.4% / X 23.5% / Jagiellonia Bialystok 42.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.8%
1 34.4%
X 23.5%
2 42.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 5 books
1 2.73 1xBet
X 4.00 Bet365
2 2.22 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Polese 🇺🇦
W-D-L 6-2-2 Scored 4.13 Conceded 1.40 xG 1.20 xGA 1.57
Jagiellonia Bialystok
W-D-L 6-1-3 Scored 2.58 Conceded 1.54 xG 2.20 xGA 1.31

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Polese 🇺🇦
Rating 1800
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Rating 1625

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Polese 🇺🇦 3 : 1 Jagiellonia Bialystok
12.73
X4.00
22.22

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 09.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Polese 🇺🇦 - Jagiellonia Bialystok

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.16 market consensus · line only
X 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1 9.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.20 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.03 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 8.50 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Yes 10.00 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Superbet
П1 2.73 36.6% 2.60 38.5% 2.62 38.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.67 37.5%
Х 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3%
П2 2.22 45.1% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.02 98.0% 2.86 35.0%
yes 10.00 10.0% 1.39 71.9%

Double chance

Outcome Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 5.20 19.2%
1x 1.65 60.6% 1.03 97.1%
x2 1.42 70.4% 1.04 96.2%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 17.00 5.9%
0_1 12.00 8.3%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 13.00 7.7%
0_3 19.00 5.3%
0_4 46.00 2.2%
0_5 80.00 1.3%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 13.00 7.7%
1_1 7.50 13.3%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 8.00 12.5%
1_3 13.00 7.7%
1_4 26.00 3.9%
1_5 65.00 1.5%
Match center
Polese 🇺🇦
W
02.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Polese 🇺🇦 4:1 Sabakh Baku 🇦🇿
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
Jagiellonia Bialystok
W
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Jagiellonia Bialystok 4:1 Pogon Sedltse 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points