UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰 - Zvolen 🇸🇰

Futbol
Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰
Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰
3 : 3
Finished
Z
Zvolen 🇸🇰
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

2Zvolen 🇸🇰 — odds 6.00 · edge +6.3% · 11 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰 - Zvolen 🇸🇰 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰.

Line favourite market consensus: Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.48 / X 4.10 / 2 5.51
  • 1X2 market: Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰 61.3% / X 22.1% / Zvolen 🇸🇰 16.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.1%
1 61.4%
X 22.2%
2 16.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.57 Unibet
X 4.50 Bet365
2 6.08 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.81 Conceded 1.39 xG 1.66 xGA 1.42
Zvolen 🇸🇰
W-D-L 3-1-6 Scored 2.05 Conceded 2.42 xG 1.01 xGA 2.37

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰
Rating 1533
Zvolen 🇸🇰
Rating 1412

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 06:30 UTC
Match center

Ruzhomberok 🇸🇰 - Zvolen 🇸🇰

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.54 market consensus · line only
X 1.13 Fonbet · line only
1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 4.80 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.02 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.93 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.97 market consensus · line only
2 0 2.90 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.90 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.52 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.50 66.7% 1.45 69.0% 1.45 69.0% 1.50 66.7% 1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0%
X 4.10 24.4% 4.05 24.7% 4.50 22.2% 3.90 25.6% 4.33 23.1% 4.20 23.8%
5.20 19.2% 5.98 16.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.30 18.9% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 2.35 42.6% 1.98 50.5%
yes 1.52 65.8% 1.77 56.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.10 90.9% 1.19 84.0% 4.80 20.8%
1x 1.03 97.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.02 98.0%
x2 2.27 44.1% 2.55 39.2% 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.01 49.8%
X 2.32 43.1%
5.80 17.2%