Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
03.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺

Futbol
S
Shturm II 🇦🇹
1 : 2
Finished
G
Gonved 🇭🇺
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Shturm II 🇦🇹 — odds 6.80 · edge +5.9% · 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺 July 3, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gonved 🇭🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.20 / X 6.40 / 2 1.07

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 25.2%
1 12.9%
X 12.5%
2 74.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 03.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.07 Fonbet · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 5.87 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 6.50 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.70 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.20 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.65 60.6% 2.38 42.0%
yes 2.10 47.6% 1.54 64.9%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.07 93.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.08 92.6%
1x 2.45 40.8% 2.75 36.4% 6.50 15.4%
x2 1.03 97.1% 1.10 90.9% 1.18 84.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
5.50 18.2%
X 2.81 35.6%
1.78 56.2%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.73 57.8%
Over 1.5 1.95 51.3%
Under 1 1.99 50.3%
Under 1.5 1.76 56.8%
Match center
Shturm II 🇦🇹
L
26.06 13:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Shturm II 🇦🇹 0:4 Obervart 🇦🇹
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
4.0 Conceded
0 Points