Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Shturm II 🇦🇹 — odds 6.80 · edge +5.9% · 4 bookies
The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺 July 3, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 6.20 / X 6.40 / 2 1.07
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Shturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.65 60.6% | 2.38 42.0% |
| yes | 2.10 47.6% | 1.54 64.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.07 93.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.08 92.6% |
| 1x | 2.45 40.8% | 2.75 36.4% | 6.50 15.4% |
| x2 | 1.03 97.1% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.18 84.8% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 5.50 18.2% | |
| X | 2.81 35.6% |
| 1.78 56.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 1 | 1.73 57.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
| Under 1 | 1.99 50.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 1.76 56.8% |
Full head-to-head historyShturm II 🇦🇹 - Gonved 🇭🇺