Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

Futbol
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
5 : 1
Finished
K
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

πŸ”’ Β«Formula lockΒ»

1Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ β€” 59%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone β€” historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 11.50 / 2 4.40

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 30.4%
1 75.9%
X 6.7%
2 17.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 10 books
1 1.57 Bet365
X 4.50 Marathonbet
2 5.61 1xBet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W-D-L 6-3-1 Scored 1.35 Conceded 0.68 xG 1.86 xGA 1.18
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 1.55 Conceded 1.19 xG 1.78 xGA 1.65

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Rating 1680
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Rating 1577

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 0
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density β€” from matches played in our database. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 11:00 UTC
Match center

Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ - Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.35 market consensus Β· line only
X 4.05 market consensus Β· line only
1 1.01 Fonbet Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.02 Fonbet Β· line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet Β· line only
X2 2.14 market consensus Β· line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.42 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +1 5.20 Fonbet Β· line only
2 0 7.40 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -1 2.65 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.50 Fonbet Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.45 Fonbet Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 1.40 Fonbet Β· line only
Yes 2.75 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.40 71.4%
yes 2.75 36.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.19 84.0% 1.02 98.0%
1x 1.12 89.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.04 96.2%
x2 2.07 48.3% 2.20 45.5% 11.00 9.1%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.65 37.7%
1.01 99.0%
5.00 20.0%
1.19 84.0%
7.00 14.3%
3.20 31.3%
4.90 20.4%
5.20 19.2%
9.50 10.5%
10.00 10.0%
1.42 70.4%
12.00 8.3%
1.12 89.3%
3.95 25.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.28 78.1%
1.13 88.5%
7.40 13.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.23 81.3%
Over 1 1.25 80.0%
Over 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 2 2.35 42.6%
Over 2.5 1.50 66.7%
Over 3 1.77 56.5%
Over 3.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 4 3.15 31.8%
Over 4.5 3.75 26.7%
Over 5 5.90 17.0%
Over 5.5 9.00 11.1%
Over 6.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 7.5 6.50 15.4%
Over 8.5 10.50 9.5%
Under 0.5 3.60 27.8%
Under 1 3.55 28.2%
Under 1.5 3.15 31.8%
Under 2 1.53 65.4%
Match center
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
W D
04.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 2:1 Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°Banska-Bistritsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Sigma Olomouts πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 0:0 Skalitsa πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡°
1 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.5 Conceded
4 Points
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
L
01.07 07:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Kromerzhizh πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ 1:3 Banik Ostrava πŸ‡¨πŸ‡Ώ
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
0 Points