Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Sigma Olomouts π¨πΏ - Kromerzhizh π¨πΏ
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Sigma Olomouts π¨πΏ β 59%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone β historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sigma Olomouts π¨πΏ - Kromerzhizh π¨πΏ July 4, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / X 11.50 / 2 4.40
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsHighest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β for reference.
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β for reference, complements the AI review.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 0
- Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
- Rest days: 3
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density β from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Sigma Olomouts π¨πΏ - Kromerzhizh π¨πΏ
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| no | 1.40 71.4% |
| yes | 2.75 36.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.14 87.7% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.02 98.0% |
| 1x | 1.12 89.3% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.04 96.2% |
| x2 | 2.07 48.3% | 2.20 45.5% | 11.00 9.1% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| 2.65 37.7% | |
| 1.01 99.0% | |
| 5.00 20.0% | |
| 1.19 84.0% | |
| 7.00 14.3% | |
| 3.20 31.3% | |
| 4.90 20.4% | |
| 5.20 19.2% | |
| 9.50 10.5% | |
| 10.00 10.0% | |
| 1.42 70.4% | |
| 12.00 8.3% | |
| 1.12 89.3% | |
| 3.95 25.3% | |
| 1.05 95.2% | |
| 1.28 78.1% | |
| 1.13 88.5% | |
| 7.40 13.5% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.23 81.3% |
| Over 1 | 1.25 80.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| Over 2 | 2.35 42.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.50 66.7% |
| Over 3 | 1.77 56.5% |
| Over 3.5 | 1.60 62.5% |
| Over 4 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Over 4.5 | 3.75 26.7% |
| Over 5 | 5.90 17.0% |
| Over 5.5 | 9.00 11.1% |
| Over 6.5 | 2.90 34.5% |
| Over 7.5 | 6.50 15.4% |
| Over 8.5 | 10.50 9.5% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.60 27.8% |
| Under 1 | 3.55 28.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 3.15 31.8% |
| Under 2 | 1.53 65.4% |
Sigma Olomouts π¨πΏ
Banska-Bistritsa πΈπ°
Full head-to-head historySigma Olomouts π¨πΏ - Kromerzhizh π¨πΏ