Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Skalitsa 🇸🇰 - Petrzhalka 🇸🇰

Futbol
S
Skalitsa 🇸🇰
1 : 0
Finished
P
Petrzhalka 🇸🇰

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Skalitsa 🇸🇰 - Petrzhalka 🇸🇰 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Skalitsa 🇸🇰.

Line favourite market consensus: Skalitsa 🇸🇰. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.73 / X 3.57 / 2 3.97
  • 1X2 market: Skalitsa 🇸🇰 52.0% / X 25.3% / Petrzhalka 🇸🇰 22.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.0%
1 52.1%
X 25.2%
2 22.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 11 books
1 1.80 Dafabet
X 3.80 Bet365
2 4.20 10Bet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Skalitsa 🇸🇰
W-D-L 5-2-3 Scored 1.49 Conceded 1.47 xG 1.41 xGA 1.54
Petrzhalka 🇸🇰
W-D-L 2-3-5 Scored 1.56 Conceded 1.99 xG 1.03 xGA 1.85

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Skalitsa 🇸🇰
Rating 1708
Petrzhalka 🇸🇰
Rating 1489

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Skalitsa 🇸🇰 - Petrzhalka 🇸🇰

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.90 Fonbet · line only
X 1.50 Fonbet · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 2.35 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 7.80 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.40 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.65 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Yes 8.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet
1.68 59.5% 1.75 57.1% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.70 58.8% 1.80 55.6%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.54 28.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.65 27.4%
4.20 23.8% 4.06 24.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 4.20 23.8% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.03 97.1% 1.99 50.3%
yes 8.50 11.8% 1.76 56.8%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.13 88.5% 1.21 82.6% 2.35 42.6%
1x 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.81 55.3% 2.00 50.0% 7.80 12.8%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.33 42.9%
X 2.16 46.3%
4.78 20.9%
Match center
Skalitsa 🇸🇰
D
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Skalitsa 🇸🇰 0:0 Sigma Olomouts 🇨🇿Sigma Olomouts 🇨🇿
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
1 Points