Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
10.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 - Samorin 🇸🇰

Futbol
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰
2 : 2
Finished
S
Samorin 🇸🇰

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 - Samorin 🇸🇰 10 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 4.70 / X 1.27 / 2 11.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.1%
1 19.5%
X 72.2%
2 8.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Model form (Glicko)
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰
Rating 1674
Samorin 🇸🇰
Rating 1538

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 3 : 1 Samorin 🇸🇰
11.40
X4.35
26.34

Score prediction and odds (1X2): third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

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Match center
Start 10.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 - Samorin 🇸🇰

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.77 market consensus · line only
X 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 4.70 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.25 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.05 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 7.30 Fonbet · line only
2 0 3.55 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.68 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.58 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.92 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.78 56.2% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.92 52.1% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.08 92.6% 1.19 84.0% 3.25 30.8%
1x 1.01 99.0% 1.10 90.9% 1.04 96.2%
x2 2.20 45.5% 2.50 40.0% 1.16 86.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
П1 1.97 50.8%
Х 2.37 42.2%
П2 5.90 17.0%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
ТБ 0.5 1.26 79.4%
ТБ 1 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 1.5 2.22 45.1%
ТМ 0.5 3.50 28.6%
ТМ 1 2.26 44.3%
ТМ 1.5 1.59 62.9%
Match center
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰
D D
04.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 1:1 Slovatsko 🇨🇿
01.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Spartak Trnava 🇸🇰 1:1 Viktoriya Plzen 🇨🇿Viktoriya Plzen 🇨🇿
0 Wins
2 Draws
0 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
2 Points
Samorin 🇸🇰
W
08.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Samorin 🇸🇰 7:0 Senets 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
7.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points