Match center
Start
11.07.2026 13:00 UTC
11.07.2026 13:00 UTC
Finished
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Sturm - Khirosima 🇯🇵
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sturm - Khirosima 🇯🇵 11 июля 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
Line favourite market consensus: Sturm. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.59 / X 4.51 / 2 4.18
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 9.0%
1
57.7%
X
20.3%
2
22.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
SStats data
Statistics and model
Friendlies ClubsForm over 10 matches (SStats)
Sturm
W-D-L 4-5-1
Scored 2.64
Conceded 1.90
xG 1.90
xGA 1.39
Khirosima 🇯🇵
W-D-L 5-1-4
Scored 2.70
Conceded 2.26
xG 1.81
xGA 1.39
Corners 8.0
Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.
Model form (Glicko)
Sturm
Rating 1656
Khirosima 🇯🇵
Rating 1557
Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.
Model prediction • nb-bet.com
Score prediction
Sturm
2
:
2
Khirosima 🇯🇵
Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source
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Match center
Sturm - Khirosima 🇯🇵
Form
4/0
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
pending
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
4.18
market consensus · line only
X
4.51
market consensus · line only
1
1.59
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 +1
1.73
market consensus · line only
1 -1
2.04
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.76
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.41
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| no | 2.76 36.2% |
| yes | 1.41 70.9% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 | 2.01 49.8% |
| Х | 2.72 36.8% |
| П2 | 4.27 23.4% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| ТБ 1.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТМ 1.5 | 1.87 53.5% |
Handicap
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| П1 -1 | 2.04 49.0% |
| П2 +1 | 1.73 57.8% |
Match center
Sturm
W
D
L
W
Sturm
4:1
Kalsdorf 🇦🇹
Sturm
2:2
Koshitse 🇸🇰
Sturm
1:5
LNZ Cherkascy 🇺🇦
LNZ Cherkascy 🇺🇦
Sturm
5:0
Mura 🇸🇮
2
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
7
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySturm - Khirosima 🇯🇵
Sturm
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals