UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Syarka Tarnobzheg 🇵🇱 - Busko-Zdroj 🇵🇱

Futbol
S
Syarka Tarnobzheg 🇵🇱
1 : 0
Finished
B
Busko-Zdroj 🇵🇱

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Syarka Tarnobzheg 🇵🇱 - Busko-Zdroj 🇵🇱 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Busko-Zdroj 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 10.00 / X 7.30 / 2 1.18

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.4%
1 9.2%
X 12.6%
2 78.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Match center

Syarka Tarnobzheg 🇵🇱 - Busko-Zdroj 🇵🇱

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.18 Fonbet · line only
X 7.30 Fonbet · line only
1 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.06 Fonbet · line only
1X 4.30 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.06 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.47 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.07 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.70 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.40 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.40 41.7%
yes 1.50 66.7%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.06 94.3%
1x 4.30 23.3%
x2 1.02 98.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
2.50 40.0%
2.70 37.0%
1.63 61.4%
1.80 55.6%
6.70 14.9%
7.70 13.0%
1.47 68.0%
1.40 71.4%
2.15 46.5%
1.90 52.6%
3.40 29.4%
2.85 35.1%
5.80 17.2%
4.50 22.2%
7.40 13.5%
1.06 94.3%
1.05 95.2%
1.07 93.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 0.5 1.47 68.0%
Over 1 2.00 50.0%
Over 1.5 3.20 31.3%
Over 2 5.60 17.9%
Over 2.5 1.14 87.7%
Over 3 1.35 74.1%
Over 3.5 1.40 71.4%
Over 4 2.00 50.0%
Over 4.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 5 3.35 29.9%
Over 5.5 2.85 35.1%
Over 6 5.50 18.2%
Over 6.5 4.50 22.2%
Under 0.5 2.50 40.0%
Under 1 1.72 58.1%
Under 1.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 2 1.09 91.7%
Under 2.5 4.60 21.7%