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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Tatran 🇸🇰 - Ostrava (B) 🇨🇿

Football
T
Tatran 🇸🇰
1 : 1
Finished
O
Ostrava (B) 🇨🇿
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

2Ostrava (B) 🇨🇿 — 55%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Tatran 🇸🇰 - Ostrava (B) 🇨🇿 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 5.80 / X 1.30 / 2 6.30

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.0%
1 15.7%
X 69.9%
2 14.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Tatran 🇸🇰 - Ostrava (B) 🇨🇿

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.30 Fonbet · line only
X 1.30 Fonbet · line only
1 5.80 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 3.05 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.10 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.11 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.07 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 1.95 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.92 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 6.20 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.54 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.28 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.52 65.8% 2.54 39.4%
yes 2.35 42.6% 1.48 67.6%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 3.05 32.8%
1x 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6% 1.10 90.9%
x2 1.12 89.3% 1.19 84.0% 1.11 90.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.72 21.2%
X 2.35 42.6%
2.16 46.3%

Goals Over/Under First Half

Outcome Leon
Over 1 1.56 64.1%
Over 1.5 2.12 47.2%
Under 1 2.28 43.9%
Under 1.5 1.64 61.0%
Match center
Tatran 🇸🇰
W
01.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Tatran 🇸🇰 4:1 Poprad 🇸🇰
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points