Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Thun - Elversberg

Futbol
T
Thun
1 : 1
Finished
E
Elversberg

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Thun - Elversberg 11 июля 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: draw. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 14.00 / X 1.14 / 2 8.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.6%
1 6.7%
X 82.3%
2 11.0%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model prediction • nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Thun 2 : 3 Elversberg

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference — not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 08:30 UTC
Match center

Thun - Elversberg

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.50 Fonbet · line only
X 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.62 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 4.80 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.17 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 2.35 42.6%
yes 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 5.30 18.9%
1x 1.05 95.2%
x2 1.05 95.2%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +1 2.20 45.5%
П1 +1.5 1.05 95.2%
П1 +2.5 1.05 95.2%
П1 -1.5 9.50 10.5%
П1 0 1.90 52.6%
П2 +1 1.62 61.7%
П2 +1.5 9.50 10.5%
П2 +2.5 9.50 10.5%
П2 -1.5 1.05 95.2%
П2 0 1.85 54.1%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 0.5 1.07 93.5%
ТБ 1.5 1.11 90.1%
ТБ 2 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 2.5 4.80 20.8%
ТБ 3 3.10 32.3%
ТБ 3.5 9.50 10.5%
ТБ 4 2.95 33.9%
ТБ 4.5 9.50 10.5%
ТБ 5.5 9.00 11.1%
ТМ 0.5 7.70 13.0%
ТМ 1.5 6.00 16.7%
ТМ 2 2.70 37.0%
ТМ 2.5 1.17 85.5%
ТМ 3 1.35 74.1%
ТМ 3.5 1.05 95.2%
ТМ 4 1.38 72.5%
ТМ 4.5 1.05 95.2%
ТМ 5.5 1.05 95.2%
Match center
Thun
W
04.07 10:30 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Thun 6:2 Ksamaks 🇨🇭
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
6.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
3 Points
Elversberg
W
04.07 12:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Elversberg 5:0 Gisen 🇩🇪
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
5.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyThun - Elversberg

Thun
0 matches total
Elversberg
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history