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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Ural 🇷🇺 - Chelyabinsk 🇷🇺

Futbol
U
Ural 🇷🇺
1 : 1
Finished
C
Chelyabinsk 🇷🇺

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Ural 🇷🇺 - Chelyabinsk 🇷🇺 July 4, 2026

Football math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite market consensus: Ural 🇷🇺. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.98 / X 3.29 / 2 3.97

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.1%
1 47.6%
X 28.7%
2 23.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 10:00 UTC
Match center

Ural 🇷🇺 - Chelyabinsk 🇷🇺

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.94 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
X2 1.72 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 0 2.67 market consensus · line only
1 0 1.41 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.24 80.7% 1.32 75.8%
1x 1.16 86.2% 1.22 82.0%
x2 1.68 59.5% 1.76 56.8%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.41 70.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4%
2.60 38.5% 2.75 36.4% 2.65 37.7%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
Over 2.5 1.96 51.0% 1.97 50.8% 1.98 50.5%
Under 2.5 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.74 57.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
X 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.29 30.4%
3.80 26.3% 3.80 26.3% 3.97 25.2%