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UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
04.07.2026 14:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Finished

UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg

Varazdin - TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴

Futbol
Varazdin
Varazdin
1 : 0
Finished
T
TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Varazdin - TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴.

Line favourite market consensus: TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.41 / 2 2.04
  • 1X2 market: Varazdin 28.6% / X 26.8% / TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴 44.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.7%
1 28.6%
X 26.7%
2 44.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Varazdin
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 2
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴
Normal schedule
  • Rest days: 3
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Varazdin - TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.04 market consensus · line only
X 6.60 Fonbet · line only
1 1.02 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 9.50 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.97 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.50 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.80 Fonbet · line only
1 +1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.64 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.13 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.30 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
3.28 30.5% 3.10 32.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.10 32.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3%
X 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.25 30.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.40 29.4% 3.52 28.4%
2.09 47.9% 2.05 48.8% 2.05 48.8% 1.95 51.3% 2.11 47.4% 2.06 48.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.05 95.2%
yes 7.30 13.7%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.19 84.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.53 65.4% 1.67 59.9% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 9.50 10.5%

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.80 55.6%
— — 9.00 11.1%
— — 11.50 8.7%
— — 10.00 10.0%
2.35 42.6% 2.40 41.7% —
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 11.00 9.1%
— — 6.30 15.9%
— — 12.00 8.3%
— — 1.97 50.8%
— — 1.03 97.1%
— — 1.01 99.0%
— — 1.02 98.0%
1.48 67.6% 1.51 66.2% 10.50 9.5%
Match center
Varazdin
W
02.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Varazdin 2:1 Voluntari 🇷🇴
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
3 Points
TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴
D
01.07 10:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
TsSKA 1948 🇧🇴 3:3 Maribor 🇸🇮
0 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
3.0 Conceded
1 Points