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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Venlo 🇳🇱 - Borussiya M II 🇩🇪

Futbol
V
Venlo 🇳🇱
3 : 2
Finished
Borussiya M II 🇩🇪
Borussiya M II 🇩🇪
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Venlo 🇳🇱 — 54%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Venlo 🇳🇱 - Borussiya M II 🇩🇪 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Venlo 🇳🇱.

Line favourite market consensus: Venlo 🇳🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.55 / X 4.58 / 2 4.10
  • 1X2 market: Venlo 🇳🇱 58.2% / X 19.7% / Borussiya M II 🇩🇪 22.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 10.7%
1 58.3%
X 19.7%
2 22.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Venlo 🇳🇱 - Borussiya M II 🇩🇪

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.92 market consensus · line only
X 6.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.08 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only
X2 5.40 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.52 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 5.20 Fonbet · line only
2 0 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 2.35 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 7.00 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 3.90 Fonbet · line only
Yes 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet
1.54 64.9% 1.57 63.7% 1.60 62.5% 1.53 65.4% 1.52 65.8%
X 4.55 22.0% 4.75 21.1% 4.30 23.3% 4.75 21.1% 4.55 22.0%
4.30 23.3% 3.75 26.7% 4.00 25.0% 4.20 23.8% 4.25 23.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 3.90 25.6% 2.20 45.5%
yes 1.20 83.3% 1.63 61.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.12 89.3% 1.20 83.3% 1.08 92.6%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.25 80.0%
x2 1.67 59.9% 1.83 54.6% 5.40 18.5%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.33 42.9%
X 2.32 43.1%
4.16 24.0%