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Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC Match prediction
04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 - Karvina 🇨🇿

Futbol
V
Visla Krakov 🇵🇱
2 : 0
Finished
K
Karvina 🇨🇿
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

💎 «Value»

1Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 — odds 2.45 · edge +5.3% · 11 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 - Karvina 🇨🇿 July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Visla Krakov 🇵🇱.

Line favourite market consensus: Visla Krakov 🇵🇱. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.68 / 2 3.31
  • 1X2 market: Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 47.5% / X 24.8% / Karvina 🇨🇿 27.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 9.5%
1 47.6%
X 24.8%
2 27.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.07.2026 08:00 UTC
Match center

Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 - Karvina 🇨🇿

Form 1/0 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · line only
X 5.40 Fonbet · line only
1 1.14 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.11 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.01 Fonbet · line only
X2 4.60 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 2.55 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 6.10 Fonbet · line only
2 0 2.44 market consensus · line only
1 -1 1.45 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 3.20 Fonbet · line only
Under 2.5 1.28 Fonbet · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Yes 6.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.90 52.6% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%
X 3.60 27.8% 3.88 25.8% 3.90 25.6% 3.80 26.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.50 28.6%
3.30 30.3% 3.53 28.3% 3.60 27.8% 3.45 29.0% 2.80 35.7% 2.88 34.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.06 94.3% 2.58 38.8%
yes 6.50 15.4% 1.47 68.0%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.14 87.7% 1.22 82.0% 1.11 90.1%
1x 1.21 82.6% 1.30 76.9% 1.01 99.0%
x2 1.64 61.0% 1.80 55.6% 4.60 21.7%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
2.36 42.4%
X 2.44 41.0%
3.76 26.6%
Match center
Visla Krakov 🇵🇱
W
01.07 06:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Visla Krakov 🇵🇱 4:0 Puscha 🇵🇱
1 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
4.0 Scored
0.0 Conceded
3 Points