UEFA Champions League. Second qualifying round. First leg
Yunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪 - FKSB 🇷🇴
Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
1Yunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪 — 51%
The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Yunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪 - FKSB 🇷🇴 July 5, 2026
Football math modelThe summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.
- 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.07 / X 9.00 / 2 5.20
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Rest and schedule
Team freshness
- Rest days: 5
- Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.
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Yunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪 - FKSB 🇷🇴
What data is collected and where it is shown
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Both teams to score
| Outcome | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|
| no | 1.05 95.2% | 1.92 52.1% |
| yes | 7.50 13.3% | 1.82 55.0% |
Double chance
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 1.12 89.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.04 96.2% |
| 1x | 1.07 93.5% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.02 98.0% |
| x2 | 2.05 48.8% | 2.30 43.5% | 6.20 16.1% |
First Half Winner
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| 2.16 46.3% | |
| X | 2.20 45.5% |
| 5.50 18.2% |
Goals Over/Under First Half
| Outcome | Leon |
|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Over 1 | 1.76 56.8% |
| Under 0.5 | 3.31 30.2% |
| Under 1 | 1.95 51.3% |
Full head-to-head historyYunion Sent-Zhillua 🇧🇪 - FKSB 🇷🇴