Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod
11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Finished

Russia. Super Cup. Nizhniy Novgorod

Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Futbol
Z
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
2 : 1
Finished
L
Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 11 июля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±.

Line favourite market consensus: Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.54 / 2 3.11
  • 1X2 market: Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 45.6% / X 25.4% / Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 28.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 11.2%
1 45.7%
X 25.4%
2 28.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

Friendlies Clubs
Best price across 9 books
1 1.81 Unibet
X 4.00 Bet365
2 4.20 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data β€” for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W-D-L 4-1-5 Scored 1.30 Conceded 1.46
Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.97 Conceded 1.66 xG 1.62 xGA 1.50

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data β€” for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1586
Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
Rating 1546

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model β€” for reference, complements the AI review.

Model prediction β€’ nb-bet.com

Score prediction

Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 3 : 1 Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Score prediction: third-party model service nb-bet.com. For reference β€” not a PropickAI prediction. Source

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Match center
Start 11.07.2026 09:00 UTC
Match center

Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± - Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±

Form 2/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.18 market consensus Β· line only
X 3.58 market consensus Β· line only
1 1.94 market consensus Β· line only
Double chance
12 1.20 market consensus Β· line only
1X 1.22 market consensus Β· line only
X2 1.84 market consensus Β· line only
Handicap
2 +1 1.55 market consensus Β· line only
2 0 2.69 market consensus Β· line only
1 -1 2.36 market consensus Β· line only
1 0 1.41 market consensus Β· line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.65 market consensus Β· line only
Under 2.5 2.10 market consensus Β· line only
Both teams to score
No 2.25 market consensus Β· line only
Yes 1.60 market consensus Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 1xBet Bet365 Betfair BetVictor Marathonbet Pinnacle
П1 2.03 49.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.95 51.3% 2.01 49.8% 1.89 52.9%
Π₯ 3.62 27.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.62 27.6% 3.41 29.3%
П2 3.00 33.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.30 30.3% 3.30 30.3% 2.95 33.9% 3.02 33.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Leon
no 2.25 44.4%
yes 1.60 62.5%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity
12 1.17 85.5% 1.22 82.0%
1x 1.19 84.0% 1.24 80.7%
x2 1.78 56.2% 1.90 52.6%

Exact Score

Outcome 1xBet
0_0 13.00 7.7%
0_1 11.00 9.1%
0_10 100.00 1.0%
0_2 15.00 6.7%
0_3 34.00 2.9%
0_4 80.00 1.3%
0_5 100.00 1.0%
0_6 100.00 1.0%
0_7 100.00 1.0%
0_8 100.00 1.0%
0_9 100.00 1.0%
1_0 8.00 12.5%
1_1 6.50 15.4%
1_10 100.00 1.0%
1_2 9.50 10.5%
1_3 21.00 4.8%
1_4 65.00 1.5%
1_5 100.00 1.0%
Match center
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
W W
08.07 13:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 1:0 Sroda πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
04.07 08:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Zavisha πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 2:1 Legiya II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
2 Wins
0 Draws
0 Losses
1.5 Scored
0.5 Conceded
6 Points
Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
L
08.07 14:00 UTC World: Club Friendlies
Lodz II πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± 0:1 Warta Sieradz πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±Warta Sieradz πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±
0 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
0.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
0 Points