World Cup - Playoff
World Cup - Playoff
03.07.2026 16:00 UTC round of 32
Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Australia - Egypt

Futbol
Australia
Australia
1 : 1
Finished
Egypt
Egypt

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Australia - Egypt July 3, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Egypt.

Line favourite market consensus: Egypt. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.53 / X 2.90 / 2 2.39
  • 1X2 market: Australia 27.1% / X 32.9% / Egypt 40.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 27.1%
X 32.9%
2 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup
League table
Australia
#24 ptsGP 31-1-12:2
LDLW
Egypt
#25 ptsGP 31-2-05:3
WDWD
Best price across 13 books
1 3.76 Pinnacle
X 2.96 1xBet
2 2.50 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)
Australia
W-D-L 3-2-5 Scored 0.71 Conceded 0.85 xG 0.81 xGA 1.58 Corners 3.8
Egypt
W-D-L 1-2-3 Scored 1.58 Conceded 1.09 xG 1.19 xGA 1.19 Corners 5.8

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)
Australia
Rating 1533
Egypt
Rating 1544

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Form and head-to-head • FIFA World Cup - Round of 32

Team stats

Australia
LLLWWLDWLD
W 3 • D 2 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.1
2 place, 4 pts
Egypt
WLDWDWLDWD
W 4 • D 4 • L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 0.8
2 place, 5 pts
Head-to-head: 1 — Australia 0, draws 0, Egypt 1 (goals 0:3)
  • Egypt — Australia2010-11-17 3:0

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature
32.3°
Feels like
36.4°
Wind
13.1 km/h (gusts 19.1)
Precipitation
0 mm/h
Humidity
55%
Cloud cover
6%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Ey-Ti-end-Ti (Arlington, Tekhas, USA), 70 244 zritelya (63% pri vmestimosti 111 000)
Referee Gustavo Tekhera (Uruguay)
Start 03.07.2026 16:00 UTC
Match center

Australia - Egypt

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Australia - Египет, 3 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, round of 32. Australia - Египет, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.38 market consensus · line only
X 1.05 Fonbet · line only
1 3.56 market consensus · line only
Double chance
12 10.00 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 1.06 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 1.09 Fonbet · line only
2 +1 2.15 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 7.60 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.44 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.75 Fonbet · line only
Yes 2.07 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
3.35 29.9% 3.68 27.2% 3.50 28.6% 3.65 27.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.50 28.6%
X 2.92 34.3% 3.00 33.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3% 2.88 34.7% 2.80 35.7%
2.32 43.1% 2.43 41.2% 2.40 41.7% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.30 43.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet Leon
no 1.75 57.1% 1.65 60.6%
yes 2.07 48.3% 2.11 47.4%

Double chance

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
12 1.45 69.0% 1.42 70.4% 10.00 10.0%
1x 1.63 61.4% 1.60 62.5% 1.09 91.7%
x2 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.06 94.3%

First Half Winner

Outcome Leon
4.42 22.6%
X 1.87 53.5%
3.13 32.0%
Match center
Australia

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Egypt

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Джейкоб Итальяно Мэтью Леки Травмированные Моханад Лашин CHAMP
Match center

Full head-to-head historyAustralia - Egypt

Australia
0 matches total
Egypt
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center
Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.
Team 1 Australia
Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket
Team 2 Egypt
Australia Team comparison Egypt
3 Games 3
1 Wins 1
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 0
2 Scored 5
2 Conceded 3
4 Points 5
81.67 Attacks 104.67
40 Dangerous attacks 43.67
0 Big chances 1.5
8.67 Shots on goal 16
3.67 Shots on target 4.33
ения 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Эмам Ашур Карим Хафез 0:1 13' Мохамед Хани 1:1 55' Послематчевые пенальти Гарри Суттар 0:0 Махмуд Сабер 0:1 Джексон Ирвайн 1:1 Рами Рабья 1:2 Авер Мабиль 2:2 Мохамед Салах 2:3 Лукас Херрингтон 2:3 Хоссам Абдельмагид 2:4 Наказания Хессем Хассан 104' Яссер Ибрахим 120'

Australia Египет 3 Игры 3 1 Победы 1 1 Ничьи 2 1 Поражения 0 2 Забито 5 2 Пропущено 3 4 Очки 5 81.67 Атаки 104.67 40 Опасные атаки 43.67 0 Голевые моменты 1.5 8.67 Удары по воротам 16 3.67 Удары в створ 4.33 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 4 Угловые 6 0.33 Оффсайды 0.33 11.33 Фолы 11.33 41.33 % владения мячом 55 1.67 Warnings 2 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Эмам Ашур Карим Хафез 0:1 13' Мохамед Хани 1:1 55' Послематчевые пенальти Гарри Суттар 0:0 Махмуд Сабер 0:1 Джексон Ирвайн 1:1 Рами Рабья 1:2 Авер Мабиль 2:2 Мохамед Салах 2:3 Лукас Херрингтон 2:3 Хоссам Абдельмагид 2:4 Наказания Хессем Хассан 104' Яссер Ибрахим 120'