World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 05.07.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction

05.07.2026 18:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Brazil - Norway

Futbol

Brazil

1 : 2

Finished

Norway

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🔒 «Formula lock»

1Brazil — 53%

The formula agrees with the market favourite in the moderate-odds zone — historically the most profitable slice (basketball/football/hockey). NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Brazil - Norway July 5, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Brazil.

Line favourite market consensus: Brazil. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.82 / X 3.66 / 2 4.45
1X2 market: Brazil 52.4% / X 26.1% / Norway 21.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%

1 52.5%

X 26.1%

2 21.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Referee · coaches · venue

Match information

Head coach

Brazil

Ancelotti, Carlo

Head coach

Norway

Solbakken, Staale

Referee: Elfath, Ismail

New York New Jersey Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ)

Referee, coaches and venue: Betradar.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Brazil

Well rested

Rest days: 6
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)

Norway

Well rested

Rest days: 5
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Match conditions

Match weather

Pasmurno

Temperature

31.6°

Feels like

37.7°

Wind

4 km/h (gusts 12.2)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

55%

Cloud cover

100%

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center

Stadium Metlayf (Ist-Raterford, USA), 80 663 zritelya (98% pri vmestimosti 82 566)

Referee Ismail Elfat (Ostin, USA)

Start 05.07.2026 18:00 UTC

Match center

Brazil - Norway

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Brazil - Norway, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 16. Brazil - Norway, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 0/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.40 Fonbet · line only

X 3.60 Fonbet · line only

1 1.82 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.30 Fonbet · line only

1X 2.95 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.18 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 3.70 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 4.60 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.12 Fonbet · line only

Yes 5.90 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.75 57.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.80 55.6%	1.90 52.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.79 26.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.75 26.7%	3.60 27.8%	3.70 27.0%
	4.45 22.5%	4.58 21.8%	4.50 22.2%	4.35 23.0%	4.60 21.7%	4.50 22.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.12 89.3%	2.23 44.8%
yes	5.90 17.0%	1.58 63.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%
1x	1.22 82.0%	1.18 84.8%	2.95 33.9%
x2	2.08 48.1%	2.10 47.6%	1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.31 43.3%
X	2.29 43.7%
	4.74 21.1%

Match center

Brazil

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Norway

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Lukas Paketa Travmirovannye

Match center

Norway

30.06 15:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Norway 2:1 Kot-d'Ivuar

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyBrazil - Norway

Brazil

0 matches total

Norway

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Brazil

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Norway

4 Games 4

3 Wins 3

1 Draws 0

0 Losses 1

9 Scored 10

2 Conceded 8

10 Points 9

109.75 Attacks 95.25

50.5 Dangerous attacks 42

3 Big chances 5

15.25 Shots on goal 11

6.5 Shots on target 5

daleniya 0 Goly Erling Kholand Andreas Shelderup 0:1 79' Erling Kholand Andreas Shelderup 0:2 90' Neymar 1:2 90+10' Nezabitye penalti Bruno Gimarayns 14' Nakazaniya Neymar 90+6'

Brazil Norway 4 Games 4 3 Wins 3 1 Draws 0 Losses 1 9 Scored 10 2 Conceded 8 10 Points 9 109.75 Attacks 95.25 50.5 Dangerous attacks 42 3 Big chances 5 15.25 Shots on goal 11 6.5 Udary v stvor 5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 5.5 Uglovye 4.25 2.5 Offsaydy 0.75 11 Foly 10.5 57.25 % vladeniya myachom 50.25 1.75 Warnings 0.5 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Erling Kholand Andreas Shelderup 0:1 79' Erling Kholand Andreas Shelderup 0:2 90' Neymar 1:2 90+10' Nezabitye penalti Bruno Gimarayns 14' Nakazaniya Neymar 90+6'