World Cup - Playoff

round of 32 30.06.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

30.06.2026 19:00 UTC round of 32

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

France - Sweden

Futbol

France

3 : 0

Finished

Sweden

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Sweden (odds13.81) Score 0:1 (odds7.82) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Sweden: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.91)
• edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
• Expected score 0:1 (odds 7.82).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction France - Sweden June 30, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like France.

Line favourite market consensus: France. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.29 / X 5.85 / 2 10.13
1X2 market: France 74.2% / X 16.3% / Sweden 9.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 74.2%

X 16.4%

2 9.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

France

#19 ptsGP 33-0-010:2

WWWW

Sweden

#24 ptsGP 31-1-17:7

LDLW

Best price across 12 books

1 1.34 Betano

X 6.36 1xBet

2 12.00 Betfair

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

France

W-D-L 8-2-0 Scored 3.11 Conceded 0.74 xG 2.40 xGA 0.74 Corners 5.1

Sweden

W-D-L 4-1-3 Scored 2.17 Conceded 2.11 xG 1.17 xGA 1.44 Corners 5.3

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

France

Rating 1959

Sweden

Rating 1584

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium Metlayf (Ist-Raterford, USA), 80 663 zritelya (98% pri vmestimosti 82 566)

Referee Danni Makkeli (Dordrekht)

Start 30.06.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

France - Sweden

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi France - Sweden, 1 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 32. France - Sweden, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.43 market consensus · line only

X 5.85 market consensus · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.07 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.07 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 4.50 Fonbet · line only

2 0 6.10 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.15 Fonbet · line only

1 0 1.08 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 2.35 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.20 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.95 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.27 78.7%	1.33 75.2%	1.25 80.0%	1.34 74.6%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%
X	5.70 17.5%	6.26 16.0%	6.00 16.7%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%	5.75 17.4%
	9.50 10.5%	9.40 10.6%	11.00 9.1%	10.25 9.8%	11.00 9.1%	11.00 9.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.20 83.3%
yes	3.95 25.3%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	1.07 93.5%
1x	1.07 93.5%
x2	14.00 7.1%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.15 87.0%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.14 87.7%
	1.05 95.2%
	1.14 87.7%
	4.00 25.0%
	4.40 22.7%
	6.90 14.5%
	1.08 92.6%
	4.50 22.2%
	6.70 14.9%
	4.70 21.3%
	7.40 13.5%
	4.70 21.3%
	1.25 80.0%
	1.15 87.0%
	1.05 95.2%
	6.10 16.4%

Match center

France

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Sweden

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Isak Khin

Match center

Full head-to-head historyFrance - Sweden

France

0 matches total

Sweden

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 France

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Sweden

3 Games 3

3 Wins 1

0 Draws 1

0 Losses 1

10 Scored 7

2 Conceded 7

9 Points 4

113 Attacks 82.67

65 Dangerous attacks 53.67

6 Big chances 1

16 Shots on goal 13.33

7.33 Shots on target 6.67

0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kilian Mbappe Usman Dembele 1:0 45' Bredli Barkola Maykl Olise 2:0 53' Kilian Mbappe Maykl Olise 3:0 74'

France Sweden 3 Games 3 Wins 1 0 Draws 1 0 Losses 1 10 Scored 7 2 Conceded 7 9 Points 4 113 Attacks 82.67 65 Dangerous attacks 53.67 6 Big chances 1 16 Shots on goal 13.33 7.33 Udary v stvor 6.67 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 5 Uglovye 5.67 1.33 Offsaydy 2.67 8 Foly 11 55.67 % vladeniya myachom 45.33 0.33 Warnings 1.67 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kilian Mbappe Usman Dembele 1:0 45' Bredli Barkola Maykl Olise 2:0 53' Kilian Mbappe Maykl Olise 3:0 74'