World Cup - Playoff

round of 32 29.06.2026 23:00 UTC Match prediction

29.06.2026 23:00 UTC round of 32

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Netherlands - Morocco

Futbol

Netherlands

1 : 1

Finished

Morocco

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Netherlands (odds3.16) Score 1:0 (odds7.87) confidence 50% ✗ outcome missed

• Model backs Netherlands: probability 50% vs 34% on the line (odds 2.93)
• edge over the line +16 pp — value pick
• Expected score 1:0 (odds 7.87).

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Netherlands - Morocco June 29, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Netherlands.

Line favourite market consensus: Netherlands. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.29 / X 3.15 / 2 3.43
1X2 market: Netherlands 41.7% / X 30.4% / Morocco 27.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 41.8%

X 30.4%

2 27.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Netherlands

#17 ptsGP 32-1-010:4

LWWD

Morocco

#27 ptsGP 32-1-06:3

WWWD

Best price across 12 books

1 2.49 Pinnacle

X 3.25 Dafabet

2 3.75 Dafabet

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Netherlands

W-D-L 6-4-0 Scored 3.04 Conceded 1.18 xG 2.07 xGA 0.88 Corners 4.2

Morocco

W-D-L 5-3-2 Scored 1.76 Conceded 0.94 xG 1.53 xGA 1.06 Corners 4.9

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Netherlands

Rating 1760

Morocco

Rating 1720

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

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Match center

Stadium BBVA (Guadalupe, Mexico), 51 243 zritelya (96% pri vmestimosti 53 500)

Referee Vilton Sampayo (Terezina-di-Goyas, Brazil)

Start 29.06.2026 23:00 UTC

Match center

Netherlands - Morocco

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Netherlands - Morocco, 30 iyunya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 32. Netherlands - Morocco, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.43 market consensus · line only

X 1.04 Fonbet · line only

1 2.29 market consensus · line only

Double chance

1X 1.25 Fonbet · line only

X2 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 -1 1.75 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 6.90 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.95 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 2.10 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.19 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	2.30 43.5%	2.38 42.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.40 41.7%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.28 30.5%	3.10 32.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%
	3.20 31.3%	3.46 28.9%	3.40 29.4%	3.45 29.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet
no	1.43 69.9%
yes	2.75 36.4%

Double chance

Outcome	Fonbet
12	11.00 9.1%
1x	1.25 80.0%
x2	5.00 20.0%

Handicap

Outcome	Fonbet
	1.10 90.9%
	1.03 97.1%
	2.10 47.6%
	4.90 20.4%
	8.50 11.8%
	10.00 10.0%
	1.85 54.1%
	6.90 14.5%
	8.50 11.8%
	1.75 57.1%
	1.12 89.3%
	1.07 93.5%
	1.06 94.3%
	1.95 51.3%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyNetherlands - Morocco

Netherlands

0 matches total

Morocco

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Netherlands

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Morocco

3 Games 3

2 Wins 2

1 Draws 1

0 Losses 0

10 Scored 6

4 Conceded 3

7 Points 7

118.67 Attacks 84.67

63 Dangerous attacks 41

2 Big chances 2.5

13.33 Shots on goal 16

6.67 Shots on target 5.33

daleniya 0 Goly Kodi Gakpo Krisensio Sammervill 1:0 72' Issa Diop Shemsdin Talbi 1 90+1' Poslematchevye penalti Ten Kopmeyners 1:0 Neyl El-Aynaui 1:0 Dzhastin Klyuyvert 1:0 Sufyan Rakhimi 1 Vaut Vegorst 2:1 Shemsdin Talbi 2 Kvinten Timber 2 Ashraf Khakimi 2 Krisensio Sammervill 2 Ismael Saybari 2:3 Nakazaniya Issa Diop 47'

Netherlands Morocco 3 Games 3 2 Wins 2 1 Draws 1 0 Losses 0 10 Scored 6 4 Conceded 3 7 Points 7 118.67 Attacks 84.67 63 Dangerous attacks 41 2 Big chances 2.5 13.33 Shots on goal 16 6.67 Udary v stvor 5.33 1 Shtangi/perekladiny 0.5 4.33 Uglovye 5.33 1.67 Offsaydy 2 8.67 Foly 10.67 61.33 % vladeniya myachom 59 1 Warnings 0.33 0 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kodi Gakpo Krisensio Sammervill 1:0 72' Issa Diop Shemsdin Talbi 1 90+1' Poslematchevye penalti Ten Kopmeyners 1:0 Neyl El-Aynaui 1:0 Dzhastin Klyuyvert 1:0 Sufyan Rakhimi 1 Vaut Vegorst 2:1 Shemsdin Talbi 2 Kvinten Timber 2 Ashraf Khakimi 2 Krisensio Sammervill 2 Ismael Saybari 2:3 Nakazaniya Issa Diop 47'