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World Cup - Playoff

round of 16 04.07.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction

04.07.2026 19:00 UTC round of 16

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Paraguay - France

Football

Paraguay

0 : 1

Finished

France

Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2France — 77%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Paraguay - France July 4, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like France.

Line favourite market consensus: France. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 16.48 / X 6.94 / 2 1.19
1X2 market: Paraguay 5.9% / X 13.8% / France 80.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 5.8%

X 13.8%

2 80.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Rest and schedule

Team freshness

Paraguay

Well rested

Rest days: 5
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

France

Well rested

Rest days: 4
Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 2)

Rest and schedule density — from matches played in our database. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Paraguay	France
Over 2.5	—	67%
Average total	—	2.67
Both teams to score (BTTS)	—	50%
Matches counted	—	6

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Linkoln Faynenshel Fild (Filadelfiya, Pensilvaniya, USA), 68 324 zritelya (99% pri vmestimosti 69 144)

Referee Ilgiz Tantashev (Uzbekistan)

Start 04.07.2026 19:00 UTC

Match center

Paraguay - France

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Paraguay - France, 5 iyulya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. World Cup po futbolu 2026, round of 16. Paraguay - France, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 1/1 recent games

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.28 Fonbet · line only

X 5.00 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.18 Fonbet · line only

1X 3.70 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.04 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 1.45 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 2.75 Fonbet · line only

1 0 9.00 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only

Under 2.5 1.50 Fonbet · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Yes 3.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	14.00 7.1%	17.00 5.9%	17.00 5.9%	16.00 6.3%	20.00 5.0%	17.00 5.9%
X	6.20 16.1%	7.80 12.8%	7.00 14.3%	6.90 14.5%	7.00 14.3%	6.50 15.4%
	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.17 85.5%	1.22 82.0%	1.17 85.5%	1.17 85.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	1.25 80.0%	1.52 65.8%
yes	3.70 27.0%	2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%	1.18 84.8%
1x	4.93 20.3%	4.80 20.8%	3.70 27.0%
x2	1.02 98.0%	1.01 99.0%	1.04 96.2%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	10.70 9.4%
X	2.81 35.6%
	1.59 62.9%

Match center

Paraguay

29.06 18:30 UTC World Cup - Playoff

Paraguay 1:1 Germany

0 Wins

1 Draws

0 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.0 Conceded

1 Points

France

30.06 19:00 UTC World Cup - Playoff

France 3:0 Sweden

1 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

3.0 Scored

0.0 Conceded

3 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyParaguay - France

Paraguay

0 matches total

France

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Paraguay

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 France

4 Games 4

2 Wins 4

1 Draws 0

1 Losses 0

3 Scored 13

5 Conceded 2

7 Points 12

74.25 Attacks 114.25

28 Dangerous attacks 64.5

0.33 Big chances 6

7.5 Shots on goal 18.25

2 Shots on target 8.5

zhdeniya 0.25 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kilian Mbappe 0:1 70' Nakazaniya Bredli Barkola 19' Manu Kone 81' Maykl Olise 90+7'

Paraguay France 4 Games 4 2 Wins 4 1 Draws 0 1 Losses 0 3 Scored 13 5 Conceded 2 7 Points 12 74.25 Attacks 114.25 28 Dangerous attacks 64.5 0.33 Big chances 6 7.5 Shots on goal 18.25 2 Udary v stvor 8.5 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 1 2 Uglovye 6 1.25 Offsaydy 1.75 13.25 Foly 9.5 31.25 % vladeniya myachom 57 2.25 Warnings 0.25 0.25 Sendoffs 0 Goly Kilian Mbappe 0:1 70' Nakazaniya Bredli Barkola 19' Manu Kone 81' Maykl Olise 90+7'