World Cup - Playoff

round of 32 02.07.2026 21:00 UTC Match prediction

02.07.2026 21:00 UTC round of 32

Finished

World Cup - Playoff

Portugal - Croatia

Futbol

Portugal

2 : 1

Finished

Croatia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Portugal - Croatia July 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Portugal.

Line favourite market consensus: Portugal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.70 / X 3.74 / 2 5.28
1X2 market: Portugal 56.2% / X 25.6% / Croatia 18.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.5%

1 56.3%

X 25.6%

2 18.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup

League table

Portugal

#25 ptsGP 31-2-06:1

WDWD

Croatia

#26 ptsGP 32-0-15:5

LWWL

Best price across 12 books

1 1.85 Dafabet

X 3.98 1xBet

2 5.85 Pinnacle

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

Form over 10 matches (SStats)

Portugal

W-D-L 4-3-3 Scored 2.01 Conceded 0.52 xG 2.10 xGA 0.77 Corners 3.9

Croatia

W-D-L 4-4-2 Scored 1.53 Conceded 1.50 xG 1.39 xGA 1.13 Corners 2.7

Averages over the last 10 matches per SStats data — for reference.

Model form (Glicko)

Portugal

Rating 1671 xG 1.84 Win 55%

Croatia

Rating 1605 xG 1.07 Win 22%

Glicko rating, expected goals (xG) and win probability per the SStats model — for reference, complements the AI review.

Match conditions

Match weather

Temperature

34.2°

Feels like

34.8°

Wind

23.4 km/h (gusts 34.9)

Precipitation

0 mm/h

Humidity

43%

Cloud cover

Weather forecast at the stadium at kickoff. For reference.

Statistics

Totals and BTTS trends

	Portugal	Croatia
Over 2.5	40%	—
Average total	3.4	—
Both teams to score (BTTS)	60%	—
Matches counted	5	—

% of matches with a total over 2.5, average total goals and % of matches where both teams scored — over each team recent matches. For reference.

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Match center

Stadium Bi-Em-O Fild (Toronto, Canada), 43 036 zriteley (139% pri vmestimosti 30 991)

Referee Espen Eskos (Oslo, Norway)

Start 02.07.2026 21:00 UTC

Match center

Portugal - Croatia

Итоговый протокол and результаты встречи Portugal - Croatia, 3 июля 2026. Обзор and статистика matches, точный счет. Чемпионат Мира по футболу 2026, round of 32. Portugal - Croatia, кто победил, онлайн трансляция matches.

H2H 0 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 5.32 market consensus · line only

X 3.74 market consensus · line only

1 1.02 Fonbet · line only

Double chance

12 1.05 Fonbet · line only

1X 1.04 Fonbet · line only

X2 2.24 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -1 2.45 Fonbet · line only

2 +1 4.10 Fonbet · line only

2 0 2.55 Fonbet · line only

1 -1 1.55 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.73 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.12 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.70 Fonbet · line only

Yes 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor
	1.71 58.5%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%
X	3.65 27.4%	3.96 25.3%	3.75 26.7%	3.75 26.7%	3.70 27.0%	3.70 27.0%
	4.75 21.1%	5.55 18.0%	5.25 19.1%	5.30 18.9%	5.50 18.2%	5.50 18.2%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Fonbet	Leon
no	2.70 37.0%	2.04 49.0%
yes	1.45 69.0%	1.70 58.8%

Double chance

Outcome	Baltbet	Betcity	Fonbet
12	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.05 95.2%
1x	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.04 96.2%
x2	2.27 44.1%	2.20 45.5%	14.00 7.1%

First Half Winner

Outcome	Leon
	2.22 45.1%
X	2.28 43.9%
	5.30 18.9%

Match center

Full head-to-head historyPortugal - Croatia

Portugal

0 matches total

Croatia

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Portugal

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Croatia

3 Games 3

1 Wins 2

2 Draws 0

0 Losses 1

6 Scored 5

1 Conceded 5

5 Points 6

120.67 Attacks 93

57.67 Dangerous attacks 38.33

0 Big chances 3

12.33 Shots on goal 8

3.67 Shots on target 3.67

упреждения 0.67 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Иван Перишич 0:1 53' Криштиану Роналду 1:1 68' Гонсалу Рамуш Рафаэл Леау 2:1 90+4' Наказания Рубен Диаш 17' Лука Модрич 59' Иван Перишич 90+8' VAR Йошко Гвардиол 90+13'

Portugal Croatia 3 Игры 3 1 Победы 2 2 Ничьи 0 0 Поражения 1 6 Забито 5 1 Пропущено 5 5 Очки 6 120.67 Атаки 93 57.67 Опасные атаки 38.33 0 Голевые моменты 3 12.33 Удары по воротам 8 3.67 Удары в створ 3.67 0 Штанги/перекладины 0 3.33 Угловые 2.33 2.33 Оффсайды 1.33 9.67 Фолы 11 62 % владения мячом 53 1.33 Warnings 0.67 0 Sendoffs 0 Голы Иван Перишич 0:1 53' Криштиану Роналду 1:1 68' Гонсалу Рамуш Рафаэл Леау 2:1 90+4' Наказания Рубен Диаш 17' Лука Модрич 59' Иван Перишич 90+8' VAR Йошко Гвардиол 90+13'