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World Cup Standings
World Cup Standings
11.06.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction
11.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Finished

World Cup Standings

Mexico - South Africa

Football
Mexico
Mexico
2 : 0
Finished
South Africa
South Africa

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Mexico - South Africa June 11, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Mexico.

Line favourite market consensus: Mexico. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.42 / X 4.40 / 2 8.66
  • 1X2 market: Mexico 67.2% / X 21.7% / South Africa 11.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 67.3%
X 21.7%
2 11.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

SStats data

Statistics and model

World Cup
League table
Mexico
#13 ptsGP 11-0-02:0
W
South Africa
#40 ptsGP 10-0-10:2
L
Best price across 14 books
1 1.50 Betano
X 4.70 Unibet
2 9.00 BetVictor

Highest odds across books (line-shopping) per SStats data — for reference, not advertising and not a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 11.06.2026 17:00 UTC
Match center

Mexico - South Africa

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.66 market consensus · line only
X 4.41 market consensus · line only
1 1.04 Fonbet · line only
Double chance
12 1.03 Fonbet · line only
1X 1.09 Fonbet · line only
X2 10.00 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -1 3.50 Fonbet · line only
2 0 5.40 Fonbet · line only
1 -1 1.25 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.10 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.05 Fonbet · line only
Yes 7.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet Bet365 Betano Betfair BetVictor
1.40 71.4% 1.45 69.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.47 68.0% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4%
X 4.30 23.3% 4.58 21.8% 4.50 22.2% 4.35 23.0% 4.50 22.2% 4.20 23.8%
8.90 11.2% 8.55 11.7% 8.50 11.8% 8.75 11.4% 9.00 11.1% 9.00 11.1%

Both teams to score

Outcome Fonbet
no 1.05 95.2%
yes 7.50 13.3%

Double chance

Outcome Fonbet
12 1.03 97.1%
1x 1.09 91.7%
x2 10.00 10.0%

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.25 80.0%
1.77 56.5%
1.10 90.9%
4.30 23.3%
6.10 16.4%
1.10 90.9%
3.50 28.6%
2.05 48.8%
5.40 18.5%
1.16 86.2%
1.08 92.6%
5.40 18.5%
Match center

Full head-to-head historyMexico - South Africa

Mexico
0 matches total
South Africa
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history