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Australia. AIHL League
Australia. AIHL League International
25.07.2026 07:00 UTC
25.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Not started

Australia. AIHL League

Sydney Bears - Sydney Ice Dogs

International Hockey
Sydney Bears
Sydney Bears
- : -
Not started
Sydney Ice Dogs
Sydney Ice Dogs
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Sydney Ice Dogs — 51%

1 · Sydney Bears48.8%
2 · Sydney Ice Dogs51.2%

Model estimate: win Sydney Bears 48.8%, win Sydney Ice Dogs 51.2%. Model favourite — Sydney Ice Dogs.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sydney Bears - Sydney Ice Dogs July 25, 2026

Hockey math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Sydney Bears. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (Fonbet): 1 1.80 / X 5.30 / 2 2.95

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 8.3%
1 51.3%
X 17.4%
2 31.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 P1 1.83 → 1.83
1X2 X 5.80 → 5.80
1X2 P2 2.75 → 2.75

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Sydney Bears

no data

Sydney Ice Dogs
5-5WWWLWLLLWL
scored 5.2conceded 4.6

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

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Match center
Start 25.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Form 4 matches
Match center

Sydney Bears - Sydney Ice Dogs

V baze uchteny nedavnie matchi oboikh uchastnikov.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 3 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament espn, Flashscore
Lineup / squad Championat, goalie report
Referees Championat
Market and Glicko

Hockey math model. The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Sydney Bears 50.5% 48.8% market favourite
Draw 15.9% -
Sydney Ice Dogs 33.6% 51.2% Glicko contrarian

Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.

Hockey math model
P1 / P2 48.8% / 51.2% probabilities
Rating 1,299 / 1,553 Sydney Bears / Sydney Ice Dogs
RD 291 / 147 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 717-1,882 / 1,259-1,847 strength interval
HFA: 45 HFA mu: 0.259 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: no value found

The hockey model separates regulation and moneyline: it accounts for Glicko-2, goaltender, shots, OT/SO and the total. We do not overweight goal differential, because empty-net and overtime can distort team strength.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.95 Fonbet · weak value +51.2% · model 51.2%
X 5.30 Fonbet · line only
1 1.80 Fonbet · no value · model 48.8%
Handicap
2 0 2.40 Fonbet · line only
1 0 1.50 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 10.5 2.60 Fonbet · line only
Over 11.5 3.50 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.18 84.8%
1.12 89.3%
2.15 46.5%
2.90 34.5%
4.10 24.4%
6.00 16.7%
1.50 66.7%
4.30 23.3%
5.30 18.9%
1.62 61.7%
1.35 74.1%
1.20 83.3%
1.09 91.7%
2.40 41.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 6.5 1.15 87.0%
Over 7.5 1.30 76.9%
Over 8.5 1.57 63.7%
Over 9.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 10.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 11.5 3.50 28.6%
Over 12.5 5.00 20.0%
Under 6.5 4.70 21.3%
Under 7.5 3.20 31.3%
Under 8.5 2.25 44.4%
Under 9.5 1.75 57.1%
Under 10.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 11.5 1.25 80.0%
Under 12.5 1.13 88.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
1.80 55.6%
X 5.30 18.9%
2.95 33.9%
Match center

Form & head-to-head

H2H 8-0-2, avg 8.8 gls
2026-06-20 · Sidney Bears 6:4 Sidney Ays Dogs
2026-05-22 · Sidney Bears 3:7 Sidney Ays Dogs
2026-04-17 · Sidney Bears 2:4 Sidney Ays Dogs
2024-06-21 · Sidney Bears 7:5 Sidney Ays Dogs
2024-05-18 · Sidney Bears 4:3 Sidney Ays Dogs
Source: ruscore

Odds · 4 bookmakers

Best price: 1 1.81 (Betcity) · X 5.7 (Betcity) · 2 2.95 (Pari)
Bookmaker1X2
Pari 1.8 5.3 2.95
Fonbet 1.8 5.3 2.95
Betcity 1.81 5.7 2.7
Liga Stavok 1.81 4.9 2.9
Source: ruscore · line comparison
Sydney Bears
L
11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Bears 3:6 Nyukasl Nort StarNyukasl Nort Star
0 Wins
1 Losses
3.0 Scored
6.0 Conceded
0% Win percentage
Sydney Ice Dogs
L W
18.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 2:5 Sentral Kost RaynosSentral Kost Raynos
11.07 07:00 UTC Australia. AIHL League
Sydney Ice Dogs 9:7 Brisben LaytningBrisben Laytning
1 Wins
1 Losses
5.5 Scored
6.0 Conceded
50% Win percentage