Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak - Forti F./Rikka Dzh.
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak — 56%
Pure model vs market (1 · Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak): model 51% · market 79% Δ −28 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak 55.5%, win Forti F./Rikka Dzh. 44.5%. Model favourite — Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak - Forti F./Rikka Dzh. 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.16 / 2 4.40
- Glicko: Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak 55.5% / Forti F./Rikka Dzh. 44.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Zhekan M.-A./David Polyak - Forti F./Rikka Dzh.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| П1 +0.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.15 87.0% |
| П1 -1.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| П1 -2.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| П1 -3.5 | 3.00 33.3% |
| П1 -4.5 | 2.35 42.6% |
| П2 +0.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| П2 +1.5 | 4.50 22.2% |
| П2 -1.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| П2 -3.5 | 1.30 76.9% |
| П2 -4.5 | 1.52 65.8% |
Total
| Outcome | Fonbet |
|---|---|
| ТБ 19.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 22.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 23.5 | 1.83 54.6% |
| ТБ 24.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 25.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 26.5 | 1.88 53.2% |
| ТБ 27.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 28.5 | 1.92 52.1% |
| ТБ 29.5 | 2.02 49.5% |
| ТБ 30.5 | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТБ 31.5 | 1.77 56.5% |
| ТБ 32.5 | 1.82 55.0% |
| ТБ 33.5 | 1.73 57.8% |
| ТБ 34.5 | 1.70 58.8% |
| ТБ 35.5 | 1.28 78.1% |
| ТБ 36.5 | 1.25 80.0% |
| ТБ 37.5 | 2.30 43.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.64 61.0% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.16 86.2% |
| П2 | 2.10 47.6% | 2.10 47.6% | 4.40 22.7% |
Full head-to-head historyZhekan M.-A./David Polyak - Forti F./Rikka Dzh.