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Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
13.07.2026 15:00 UTC Match prediction

Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 - Balshaw F. 🇫🇷

Tennis Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay
Challenger Men - Singles: Kordenons (Italy), clay clay 13.07.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
13.07.2026 15:00 UTC Finished
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹
B
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷
2:1
Odds
P1 2.70 84.8% BetBoom
P2 15.00 15.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Medium confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 — 81%

Pure model vs market (1 · Napolitano S. 🇮🇹): model 47% · market 94% Δ −47 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 ✓ Прогноз80.9%
market94%
2 · Balshaw F. 🇫🇷19.1%
market6%

Model estimate: win Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 80.9%, win Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 19.1%. Model favourite — Napolitano S. 🇮🇹.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 - Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 13 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Napolitano S. 🇮🇹.

Line favourite Fonbet: Napolitano S. 🇮🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 80.9% / Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 19.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 ✓ Прогноз 93.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.65 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.43 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Napolitano S. 🇮🇹
6-4WWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷
7-3WLWLWLWWWW
scored 1.6conceded 0.9

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 15:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 5 matches
Match center

Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 - Balshaw F. 🇫🇷

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 2/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 84.8% 80.9% market and model agree
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 15.3% 19.1%
1X2: 2 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 80.9% / 19.1% probabilities
Rating 1,322 / 1,963 Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 / Balshaw F. 🇫🇷
RD 261 / 167 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-1,845 / 1,629-2,298 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.41 market consensus · no value · model 19.1%
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 80.9%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.78 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only
Over 19.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.78 56.2%
П1 -1.5 1.62 61.7%
П1 -2.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -3.5 1.60 62.5%
П1 -4.5 1.37 73.0%
П2 +0.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 +2.5 1.75 57.1%
П2 +3.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 +4.5 2.05 48.8%
П2 -0.5 1.92 52.1%
П2 -1.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 -2.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -3.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -4.5 2.85 35.1%
П2 -5.5 3.80 26.3%
П2 -6.5 8.50 11.8%
П2 -7.5 6.90 14.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 17.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 19.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 21.5 1.85 54.1%
ТБ 22.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 23.5 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 24.5 6.90 14.5%
ТБ 25.5 8.50 11.8%
ТБ 26.5 3.80 26.3%
ТБ 27.5 3.35 29.9%
ТМ 17.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 19.5 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 20.5 1.90 52.6%
ТМ 21.5 1.85 54.1%
ТМ 22.5 1.95 51.3%
ТМ 23.5 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 24.5 1.05 95.2%
ТМ 25.5 1.03 97.1%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 1.01 99.0% 2.70 37.0%
П2 15.00 6.7% 1.41 70.9%
Match center
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹
L L
30.05 08:55 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Centurion (Южная Африка), хард
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 1:2 Винтер Э. (Авс)
18.05 14:25 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Napolitano S. 🇮🇹 1:2 Моро Каньяс А. (Исп)Моро Каньяс А. (Исп)
0 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
0% Win percentage
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷
W W L W W
09.07 12:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 2:0 Henning P. (Юар)
06.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 2:0 Санчес Ховер К. (Исп)
14.06 11:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Lyon (Франция), грунт
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 0:2 Хорда Санчис Д. (Исп)Хорда Санчис Д. (Исп)
13.06 12:50 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Lyon (Франция), грунт
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 2:1 Галан Д. Э. (Кол)Галан Д. Э. (Кол)
11.06 10:45 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Lyon (Франция), грунт
Balshaw F. 🇫🇷 2:1 Мартинес Портеро П. (Исп)
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage