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ATP Challenger. Linkoln
ATP Challenger. Linkoln International
15.07.2026 00:25 MSK Match prediction

Lajal M - Svayda T

Tennis ATP Challenger. Linkoln
ATP Challenger. Linkoln 15.07.2026 00:25 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 00:25 MSK Finished
Lajal M
Lajal M
Svayda T
Svayda T
2:1
Odds
P1 1.85 50.7% BetBoom
P2 1.90 49.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Lajal M — 51%

1 · Lajal M50.8%
2 · Svayda T49.2%

Model estimate: win Lajal M 50.8%, win Svayda T 49.2%. Model favourite — Lajal M.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Lajal M - Svayda T 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Lajal M.

Line favourite Fonbet: Lajal M. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.23 / 2 3.75
  • Glicko: Lajal M 50.8% / Svayda T 49.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.0%
1 75.3%
2 24.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.83 ↑ 1.85
Победитель П2 1.92 ↓ 1.90

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 00:25 MSK
Form 1 matches
Match center

Lajal M - Svayda T

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:1
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Lajal M 50.7% 50.8% market and model agree
Svayda T 49.3% 49.2%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.8% / 49.2% probabilities
Rating 1,678 / 1,500 Lajal M / Svayda T
RD 290 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,097-2,259 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.75 Fonbet · weak value +84.4% · model 49.2%
1 1.23 Fonbet · no value · model 50.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.50 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.47 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.35 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.25 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.65 60.6%
П1 -0.5 1.47 68.0%
П1 -1.5 2.30 43.5%
П1 -2.5 1.85 54.1%
П1 -3.5 1.90 52.6%
П1 -4.5 2.15 46.5%
П2 +0.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 +1.5 1.35 74.1%
П2 +2.5 1.50 66.7%
П2 +3.5 2.65 37.7%
П2 +4.5 1.92 52.1%
П2 +5.5 3.45 29.0%
П2 +6.5 2.95 33.9%
П2 -0.5 2.50 40.0%
П2 -1.5 1.55 64.5%
П2 -2.5 1.85 54.1%
П2 -3.5 1.80 55.6%
П2 -4.5 1.62 61.7%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 20.5 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 21.5 1.73 57.8%
ТБ 22.5 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 23.5 1.75 57.1%
ТБ 24.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 25.5 1.95 51.3%
ТБ 30.5 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 31.5 2.15 46.5%
ТБ 33.5 1.25 80.0%
ТБ 34.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 35.5 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 37.5 3.45 29.0%
ТМ 19.5 2.95 33.9%
ТМ 20.5 3.50 28.6%
ТМ 21.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 22.5 1.53 65.4%
ТМ 23.5 1.95 51.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.23 81.3%
П2 3.75 26.7%
Match center
Lajal M
W
08.07 23:30 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Ньюпорт
Lajal M 2:0 Фернли Дж
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Svayda T
W
08.07 23:30 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Ньюпорт
Svayda T 2:0 Фернли Дж
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyLajal M - Svayda T

Lajal M
0 matches total
Svayda T
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history