ATP Challenger. Linkoln
ATP Challenger. Linkoln International

Johnson Spencer - Bertola R

Tennis ATP Challenger. Linkoln
ATP Challenger. Linkoln 14.07.2026 21:55 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 21:55 MSK Finished
Johnson Spencer
Johnson Spencer
Bertola R
Bertola R
-:-
Odds
P1 1.50 61.5% BetBoom
P2 2.40 38.5% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Johnson Spencer50%

1 · Johnson Spencer50.0%
2 · Bertola R50.0%

Model estimate: win Johnson Spencer 50.0%, win Bertola R 50.0%. Model favourite — Johnson Spencer.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Johnson Spencer - Bertola R 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Johnson Spencer. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.06 / 2 7.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 8.2%
1 87.2%
2 12.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.68 ↓ 1.50
Победитель П2 2.05 ↑ 2.40

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 21:55 MSK
Match center

Johnson Spencer - Bertola R

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Match Participants Line Movement
More needed
Form Championat, Flashscore
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Overview Championat
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Johnson Spencer 61.5% 50.0% market and model agree
Bertola R 38.5% 50.0%

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 50.0% / 50.0% probabilities
Rating 1,500 / 1,500 Johnson Spencer / Bertola R
RD 350 / 350 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 800-2,200 / 800-2,200 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 7.20 Fonbet · weak value +260.0% · model 50.0%
1 1.06 Fonbet · no value · model 50.0%
Total
Over 15.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only
Over 16.5 1.33 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -1.5 1.83 54.6%
П1 -2.5 1.72 58.1%
П1 -3.5 1.55 64.5%
П1 -4.5 1.65 60.6%
П1 -5.5 1.10 90.9%
П1 -6.5 1.45 69.0%
П1 -7.5 3.05 32.8%
П1 -8.5 4.80 20.8%
П2 -1.5 1.87 53.5%
П2 -2.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -3.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -4.5 2.10 47.6%
П2 -5.5 5.50 18.2%
П2 -6.5 2.55 39.2%
П2 -7.5 1.33 75.2%
П2 -8.5 1.13 88.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 15.5 1.13 88.5%
ТБ 16.5 1.33 75.2%
ТБ 17.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 18.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 19.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.77 56.5%
ТБ 21.5 1.93 51.8%
ТБ 22.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 23.5 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 15.5 4.80 20.8%
ТМ 16.5 3.05 32.8%
ТМ 17.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 18.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 19.5 1.55 64.5%
ТМ 20.5 1.93 51.8%
ТМ 21.5 1.77 56.5%
ТМ 22.5 1.80 55.6%
ТМ 23.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.06 94.3%
П2 7.20 13.9%