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ATP Challenger. Pozoblanco. Doubles
ATP Challenger. Pozoblanco. Doubles International
14.07.2026 11:05 MSK Match prediction

Erel Ya - Pavlovich L

Tennis ATP Challenger. Pozoblanco. Doubles
ATP Challenger. Pozoblanco. Doubles 14.07.2026 11:05 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 11:05 MSK Finished
Erel Ya
Erel Ya
Pavlovich L
Pavlovich L
2:0
Odds
P1 1.01 93.7% BetBoom
P2 15.00 6.3% BetBoom
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
- Coverage -
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Erel Ya — 52%

1 · Erel Ya51.6%
2 · Pavlovich L48.4%

Model estimate: win Erel Ya 51.6%, win Pavlovich L 48.4%. Model favourite — Erel Ya.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Erel Ya - Pavlovich L 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Erel Ya.

Line favourite Fonbet: Erel Ya. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 15.00
  • Glicko: Erel Ya 51.6% / Pavlovich L 48.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.7%
1 93.7%
2 6.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.95 ↓ 1.01
Победитель П2 1.80 ↑ 15.00

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 11:05 MSK
Form 3 matches
Match center

Erel Ya - Pavlovich L

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Erel Ya 93.7% 51.6% market and model agree
Pavlovich L 6.3% 48.4%
1X2: 1 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 51.6% / 48.4% probabilities
Rating 1,784 / 1,437 Erel Ya / Pavlovich L
RD 282 / 248 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,220-2,348 / 942-1,933 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
1 1.01 Fonbet · no value · model 51.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.83 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.87 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.77 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.48 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 1.77 56.5%
П1 -0.5 1.87 53.5%
П1 -1.5 1.43 69.9%
П1 -2.5 1.57 63.7%
П1 -3.5 1.05 95.2%
П1 -4.5 1.07 93.5%
П1 -5.5 1.60 62.5%
П1 -6.5 2.45 40.8%
П2 +0.5 1.93 51.8%
П2 +1.5 1.95 51.3%
П2 +2.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -0.5 1.83 54.6%
П2 -1.5 2.60 38.5%
П2 -2.5 2.25 44.4%
П2 -3.5 7.40 13.5%
П2 -4.5 6.30 15.9%
П2 -5.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 -6.5 1.48 67.6%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 1.48 67.6%
ТБ 20.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 21.5 6.30 15.9%
ТБ 22.5 7.40 13.5%
ТБ 23.5 2.70 37.0%
ТБ 24.5 1.67 59.9%
ТБ 25.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 26.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 27.5 1.92 52.1%
ТМ 19.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 20.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 21.5 1.07 93.5%
ТМ 22.5 1.05 95.2%
ТМ 23.5 1.40 71.4%
ТМ 24.5 2.08 48.1%
ТМ 25.5 1.68 59.5%
ТМ 26.5 1.60 62.5%
ТМ 27.5 1.78 56.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
П1 1.01 99.0%
П2 15.00 6.7%
Match center
Erel Ya
W
10.07 08:00 UTC+0 World Tennis. Мужчины. Испания
Erel Ya 2:0 Байбарс А
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Pavlovich L
L W
09.07 17:50 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Яссы
Pavlovich L 0:2 Дроге Т
07.07 18:15 UTC+0 ATP Челленджер. Яссы
Pavlovich L 2:1 Феррейра-Силва Ф
1 Wins
1 Losses
1.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
50% Win percentage
Match center

Full head-to-head historyErel Ya - Pavlovich L

Erel Ya
0 matches total
Pavlovich L
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history