PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
14.07.2026 10:00 MSK Match prediction

Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 - Pellegrino A

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay clay 14.07.2026 10:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 10:00 MSK Finished
B
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴
Pellegrino A
Pellegrino A
0:2
Odds
P1 1.97 48.7% BetBoom
P2 1.87 51.3% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Pellegrino A — 51%

Pure model vs market (2 · Pellegrino A): model 52% · market 52% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market

1 · Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴48.6%
2 · Pellegrino A51.4%

Model estimate: win Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 48.6%, win Pellegrino A 51.4%. Model favourite — Pellegrino A.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

2Pellegrino A (odds1.87) confidence 51% ✓ outcome correct

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 - Pellegrino A 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Pellegrino A.

Line favourite Fonbet: Pellegrino A. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.97 / 2 1.85
  • Glicko: Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 48.6% / Pellegrino A 51.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 48.4%
2 51.6%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.00 ↓ 1.97
Победитель П2 1.82 ↑ 1.85

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴
4-6LWLWWLWLLL
scored 0.8conceded 1.5
Pellegrino A

no data

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:6/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek

Google AI updated12.07.2026 08:34 MSK
1 47%
2 53% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:Победа Пеллегрино (П2).
ChatGPT updated14.07.2026 08:01 MSK
1 47%
2 53% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:П2 — по
Claude updated12.07.2026 07:49 MSK
1 43%
2 57% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Пеллегрино (П2)
Qwen updated14.07.2026 07:59 MSK
1 47%
2 53% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated14.07.2026 08:03 MSK
1 42%
2 58% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2 (Pellegrino)
Per AI data Form:L W W L L / L W L W L
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 08:04 MSK
1 43%
2 57% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П2
Per AI data Form:3-2 / 2-3 H2H: 0-0

AI consensus:2

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 47% 53% 1:2 ТБ 21.5 Победа Пеллегрино (П2).
ChatGPT 47% 53% 1:2 ТБ 21.5 П2 — по
Claude 43% 57% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 Победа Пеллегрино (П2)
Qwen 47% 53% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П2
Kimi 42% 58% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П2 (Pellegrino)
GLM 5.2 43% 57% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 П2
Match center
Start 14.07.2026 10:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 - Pellegrino A

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 48.7% 48.6%
Pellegrino A 51.3% 51.4% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 48.6% / 51.4% probabilities
Rating 1,573 / 1,692 Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 / Pellegrino A
RD 233 / 175 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,107-2,039 / 1,341-2,043 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.85 Fonbet · no value · model 51.4%
1 1.97 Fonbet · no value · model 48.6%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.68 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.88 Fonbet · line only
2 0 1.77 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 2.05 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 21.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Over 22.5 1.80 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 +0.5 1.87 53.5% — 1.87 53.5% 1.89 52.9%
П1 +1.5 — 1.74 57.5% 1.77 56.5% —
П1 +2.5 — — 1.62 61.7% —
П1 -0.5 — — 2.05 48.8% —
П1 0 — 2.05 48.8% — —
П2 +0.5 — — 1.88 53.2% —
П2 +1.5 — — 1.93 51.8% —
П2 +2.5 — — 2.15 46.5% —
П2 -0.5 1.87 53.5% — 1.68 59.5% 1.88 53.2%
П2 -1.5 — 2.10 47.6% — —
П2 0 — 1.77 56.5% — —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.57 63.7%
ТБ 22.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 23.5 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 21.5 — — 2.25 44.4%
ТМ 22.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 23.5 1.79 55.9% 1.82 55.0% 1.70 58.8%
ТМ 24.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТМ 25.5 — — 1.60 62.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.92 52.1% 1.93 51.8% 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0%
П2 1.82 55.0% 1.87 53.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.82 55.0%
Match center
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴
W L W
14.06 12:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Ноттингем (Великобритания), трава
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 2:0 Макдональд М. (Сша)
20.05 13:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 0:2 Gentzsch T. (Гер)Gentzsch T. (Гер)
19.05 17:25 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Budkov Kjaer N. 🇳🇴 2:0 Байи Ж. А. (Блг)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.3 Sets won
0.7 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Pellegrino A
L W L W W
08.07 17:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Pellegrino A 1:2 Бранкаччио Р. (Ита)Бранкаччио Р. (Ита)
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Триесте (Италия), грунт
Pellegrino A 2:0 Алкала Гурри М. (Исп)
25.05 13:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция), грунт
Pellegrino A 0:3 Коболли Ф. (Ита)Коболли Ф. (Ита)
21.05 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Pellegrino A 2:0 Чеккинато М. (Ита)
20.05 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция) - квалификация, грунт
Pellegrino A 2:1 Харрис Л. (Юар)
3 Wins
2 Losses
1.4 Sets won
1.2 Sets lost
60% Win percentage