grasslya S. 🇮🇹 - Krumich M. 🇨🇿
About the athletes
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
2 Krumich M. 🇨🇿 — 56%
Pure model vs market (2 · Krumich M. 🇨🇿): model 56% · market 56% Δ 0 pp model estimate matches the market
Model estimate: win grasslya S. 🇮🇹 43.5%, win Krumich M. 🇨🇿 56.5%. Model favourite — Krumich M. 🇨🇿.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)
- • Травалья С
- • (Ита) — Крумич М
- • (Чех) (теннис)
- • Травалья С
- • (Ита): форма ПППВП (1-4)
- • Крумич М
- • (Чех): форма ВВППВ (3-2)
- • линия на пик П2 2.10→1.68 (укоротилась — деньги на пик)
- • Модель ставит на Крумич М
- • (Чех): вероятность 56% против 60% по линии (кэф 1.67)
- ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-4 пп) — прогноз информационный.
Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction grasslya S. 🇮🇹 - Krumich M. 🇨🇿 14 июля 2026
Tennis math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Krumich M. 🇨🇿.
- Win odds (Fonbet): 1 2.18 / 2 1.68
- Glicko: grasslya S. 🇮🇹 43.5% / Krumich M. 🇨🇿 56.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
For reference
Line movement
How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Лидер исходов AI: П1
Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.
Head-to-head and form stats
Head-to-head and form
Team form
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
AI overview
AI predictions
AI analysis:5/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek, ChatGPT
AI consensus:2
| AI | 1 | 2 | Score | Total games | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google AI | 43% | 57% | 0:2 | ТМ 22.5 | П2 |
| Claude | 42% | 58% | 0:2 | ТБ 22.5 | П2 (победа Крумича) за 1.68 |
| Qwen | 42% | 58% | 0:2 | ТМ 22.5 | Победа Крумича М. (P2) |
| Kimi | 58% | 42% | 2:1 | ТБ 21.5 | П1 (Травалья) |
| GLM 5.2 | 35% | 65% | 2:0 | ТМ 21.5 | П2 (Крумич) - осторожно, основная ставка П1 с форой -1.5 по сетам |
grasslya S. 🇮🇹 - Krumich M. 🇨🇿
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Handicap
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 +0.5 | 1.89 52.9% | — | — |
| П1 +1.5 | 1.92 52.1% | 1.98 50.5% | — |
| П1 +2.5 | 1.80 55.6% | — | — |
| П1 -0.5 | 1.82 55.0% | — | — |
| П1 -1.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| П2 +0.5 | 1.92 52.1% | — | 1.70 58.8% |
| П2 +1.5 | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | — |
| П2 -0.5 | 1.85 54.1% | — | 1.60 62.5% |
| П2 -1.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.50 66.7% |
| П2 -2.5 | 1.95 51.3% | — | 1.42 70.4% |
Total
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 19.5 | — | — | 1.35 74.1% |
| ТБ 20.5 | — | — | 1.52 65.8% |
| ТБ 21.5 | — | — | 1.67 59.9% |
| ТБ 22.5 | 1.92 52.1% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.95 51.3% |
| ТБ 23.5 | — | — | 2.10 47.6% |
| ТБ 24.5 | — | — | 2.20 45.5% |
| ТБ 25.5 | — | — | 2.40 41.7% |
| ТБ 26.5 | — | — | 2.75 36.4% |
| ТМ 19.5 | — | — | 2.90 34.5% |
| ТМ 20.5 | — | — | 2.35 42.6% |
| ТМ 21.5 | — | — | 2.08 48.1% |
| ТМ 22.5 | 1.82 55.0% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% |
| ТМ 23.5 | — | — | 1.65 60.6% |
| ТМ 24.5 | — | — | 1.60 62.5% |
Outcome (1X2)
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Fonbet | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 2.15 46.5% | 2.22 45.1% | 2.18 45.9% | 2.15 46.5% |
| П2 | 1.65 60.6% | 1.66 60.2% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.68 59.5% |
Basile P. (Ита)
Моро Каньяс А. (Исп)
Чжен М. (Сша)
Krumich M. 🇨🇿
Пассаро Ф. (Ита)
Full head-to-head historygrasslya S. 🇮🇹 - Krumich M. 🇨🇿