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ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
14.07.2026 11:00 MSK Match prediction

Vallejo A D - Damas M. 🇪🇸

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden), clay clay 14.07.2026 11:00 MSK Finished
14.07.2026 11:00 MSK Finished
V
Vallejo A D
D
Damas M. 🇪🇸
2:0
Odds
P1 1.19 90.6% BetBoom
P2 11.50 9.4% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Vallejo A D — 78%

Pure model vs market (1 · Vallejo A D): model 51% · market 92% Δ −41 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Vallejo A D ✓ Прогноз77.5%
market92%
2 · Damas M. 🇪🇸22.5%
market8%

Model estimate: win Vallejo A D 77.5%, win Damas M. 🇪🇸 22.5%. Model favourite — Vallejo A D.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Vallejo A D - Damas M. 🇪🇸 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Vallejo A D.

Line favourite Fonbet: Vallejo A D. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 11.50
  • Glicko: Vallejo A D 77.5% / Damas M. 🇪🇸 22.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 ✓ Прогноз 91.8%
2 8.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.19 ↓ 1.03
Победитель П2 4.70 ↑ 11.50

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Vallejo A D

no data

Damas M. 🇪🇸
4-6WLWWLLLLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 14.07.2026 11:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Vallejo A D - Damas M. 🇪🇸

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Vallejo A D 80.5% 77.5% market and model agree
Damas M. 🇪🇸 19.5% 22.5%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 77.5% / 22.5% probabilities
Rating 1,834 / 1,729 Vallejo A D / Damas M. 🇪🇸
RD 265 / 147 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,305-2,364 / 1,435-2,023 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.73 market consensus · no value · model 22.5%
1 1.03 Fonbet · no value · model 77.5%
Handicap
2 -0.5 4.60 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.16 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 16.5 1.53 Fonbet · line only
Over 17.5 1.43 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 — — 1.16 86.2%
П1 -4.5 1.76 56.8% 1.79 55.9% —
П1 -5.5 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% —
П2 +4.5 1.99 50.3% 2.03 49.3% —
П2 +5.5 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% —
П2 -0.5 — — 4.60 21.7%
П2 -1.5 — — 4.15 24.1%
П2 -2.5 — — 3.65 27.4%
П2 -3.5 — — 7.70 13.0%
П2 -4.5 — — 8.50 11.8%
П2 -5.5 — — 14.00 7.1%
П2 -6.5 — — 1.45 69.0%
П2 -7.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
П2 -8.5 — — 1.33 75.2%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 16.5 — — 1.53 65.4%
ТБ 17.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
ТБ 18.5 — — 16.00 6.3%
ТБ 19.5 1.80 55.6% 1.88 53.2% 5.70 17.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.82 55.0% 1.85 54.1% 2.40 41.7%
ТБ 21.5 1.98 50.5% — 7.30 13.7%
ТБ 22.5 — — 2.60 38.5%
ТБ 23.5 — — 2.90 34.5%
ТМ 19.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% —
ТМ 20.5 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3% —
ТМ 21.5 1.77 56.5% — —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.18 84.8% 1.16 86.2% 1.03 97.1% 1.19 84.0%
П2 4.50 22.2% 5.20 19.2% 11.50 8.7% 4.50 22.2%
Match center
Vallejo A D
W L W
06.07 06:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Брауншвейг (Германия), грунт
Vallejo A D 2:0 Прадо Анхело Х. (Бол)
28.05 07:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция), грунт
Vallejo A D 2:3 Kouame M. (Фра)Kouame M. (Фра)
26.05 10:25 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция), грунт
Vallejo A D 1:0 Норри К. (Вел)
2 Wins
1 Losses
1.7 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
67% Win percentage
Damas M. 🇪🇸
W W L W W
13.07 09:30 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Бастад (Швеция) - квалификация, грунт
Damas M. 🇪🇸 2:1 Faurel T. (Фра)Faurel T. (Фра)
12.07 06:00 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Бастад (Швеция) - квалификация, грунт
Damas M. 🇪🇸 2:0 Slavic N. (Шве)Slavic N. (Шве)
11.07 09:30 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Damas M. 🇪🇸 0:2 Джустино Л. (Ита)
10.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Damas M. 🇪🇸 2:0 Dhamne M. (Инд)Dhamne M. (Инд)
08.07 07:00 UTC+0 ЧЕЛЛЕНДЖЕР МУЖЧИНЫ - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Liege (Бельгия), грунт
Damas M. 🇪🇸 2:1 Байи Ж. А. (Блг)
4 Wins
1 Losses
1.6 Sets won
0.8 Sets lost
80% Win percentage