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ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
13.07.2026 07:00 UTC Match prediction

Markondes I. 🇧🇷 - Midon L

Tennis ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay clay 13.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
13.07.2026 07:00 UTC Finished
M
Markondes I. 🇧🇷
W
M
Midon L
W
0:2
Odds
P1 4.50 25.4% BetBoom
P2 1.53 74.6% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
High confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

2 Midon L — 61%

Pure model vs market (2 · Midon L): model 52% · market 79% Δ −27 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Markondes I. 🇧🇷38.8%
market21%
2 · Midon L ✓ Прогноз61.2%
market79%

Model estimate: win Markondes I. 🇧🇷 38.8%, win Midon L 61.2%. Model favourite — Midon L.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Markondes I. 🇧🇷 - Midon L 13 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Midon L.

Line favourite Fonbet: Midon L. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 4.50 / 2 1.17
  • Glicko: Markondes I. 🇧🇷 38.8% / Midon L 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.7%
1 20.6%
2 ✓ Прогноз 79.4%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 2.25 ↑ 4.50
Победитель П2 1.55 ↓ 1.17

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Markondes I. 🇧🇷
6-4LWLWWWLLWW
scored 1.5conceded 1.2
Midon L
4-6LLWLWWLLWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 13.07.2026 07:00 UTC
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Markondes I. 🇧🇷 - Midon L

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Movement Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Markondes I. 🇧🇷 37.7% 38.8%
Midon L 62.3% 61.2% market and model agree
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 38.8% / 61.2% probabilities
Rating 1,648 / 1,768 Markondes I. 🇧🇷 / Midon L
RD 216 / 161 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,215-2,081 / 1,446-2,091 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.17 Fonbet · no value · model 61.2%
1 4.50 Fonbet · no value · model 38.8%
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.27 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 3.40 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
Over 21.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 +0.5 — — 3.40 29.4%
П1 +1.5 — — 3.75 26.7%
П1 +2.5 1.95 51.3% 1.93 51.8% 1.16 86.2%
П1 +3.5 — 1.77 56.5% —
П1 -0.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П1 -1.5 — — 2.00 50.0%
П2 +0.5 — — 1.27 78.7%
П2 +1.5 — — 1.23 81.3%
П2 +2.5 — — 4.30 23.3%
П2 +3.5 — — 3.75 26.7%
П2 +4.5 — — 2.15 46.5%
П2 -0.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.73 57.8%
П2 -2.5 1.78 56.2% 1.81 55.3% —
П2 -3.5 — 1.98 50.5% —

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 21.5 1.76 56.8% — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 22.5 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 1.80 55.6%
ТБ 23.5 — — 1.47 68.0%
ТБ 24.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 25.5 — — 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 27.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 28.5 — — 1.82 55.0%
ТБ 29.5 — — 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 30.5 — — 1.92 52.1%
ТБ 31.5 — — 2.50 40.0%
ТМ 21.5 1.97 50.8% — —
ТМ 22.5 1.78 56.2% 1.74 57.5% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.45 40.8% 2.40 41.7% 4.50 22.2% 2.47 40.5%
П2 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.17 85.5% 1.48 67.6%
Match center
Markondes I. 🇧🇷
W
12.07 06:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
Markondes I. 🇧🇷 2:0 Bueno G. 🇵🇪Bueno G. 🇵🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Midon L
W
12.07 06:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Bastad (Sweden) - Qualifying, clay
Midon L 2:0 Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. 🇸🇪
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage