Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)
1 Passaro F. 🇮🇹 — 61%
Pure model vs market (1 · Passaro F. 🇮🇹): model 50% · market 63% Δ −13 pp model estimates below the market
Model estimate: win Passaro F. 🇮🇹 61.1%, win Krumich M. 🇨🇿 38.9%. Model favourite — Passaro F. 🇮🇹.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Passaro F. 🇮🇹.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Head-to-head and form stats
no data
Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.
В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.
Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.
Best value: value не найден
Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 -2.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.76 56.8% | 1.81 55.3% |
| П1 -3.5 | 1.79 55.9% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| П2 +2.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.94 51.6% |
| П2 +3.5 | 1.94 51.6% | 1.87 53.5% | — |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| ТБ 21.5 | 1.81 55.3% | 1.79 55.9% | — |
| ТБ 22.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.89 52.9% |
| ТМ 21.5 | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | — |
| ТМ 22.5 | 1.86 53.8% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% |
| Outcome | Baltbet | Betcity | Leon |
|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.49 67.1% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.49 67.1% |
| П2 | 2.47 40.5% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.45 40.8% |
Passaro F. 🇮🇹
Krumich M. 🇨🇿
Full head-to-head historyPassaro F. 🇮🇹 - Krumich M. 🇨🇿