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ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
12.06.2026 14:00 UTC quarter-final
Finished

ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass

Medvedev D. (World) - Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·

Tennis
Medvedev D. (World)
Medvedev D. (World)
2 : 1
Finished
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Medvedev D. (World) - Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡· June 12, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.20 / 2 1.35

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin β€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 29.7%
2 70.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds β€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Medvedev D. (World)
6-4LLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 1.2
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·
5-5WLWLLWWLLW
scored 1.1conceded 1.4

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics β€” for reference.

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Match center
Stadium Autotron Rosmalen.
Start 12.06.2026 14:00 UTC
Match center

Medvedev D. (World) - Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Daniil Medvedev - Marin Chilich. Khertogenboskh (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Championat

Match flow

Source

Ofitsialno perenesli match na zavtra, 13 iyunya. Skoree vsego, vtorym zapuskom na tsentralnom korte posle Barbory Kreychikovoy s Magdoy Linett ikh postavyat, okolo msk. Daniil srazhaetsya za Semi-final Khertogenboskha s drugim chempionom US Open Medvedev spassya s matchbola and vyigral pervuyu vstrechu na trave. A v quarter-final β€” opyat dozhd Pri etom court brezentom poka ne nakryvayut and dazhe setku ne snimayut, po-prezhnemu ubiraya vodu Β«udochkamiΒ». Ne znayu, kak esche nazyvat eto svoeobraznoe prisposoblenie, no udochka tut β€” maksimalno blizkaya assotsiatsiya

20:50 Ofitsialno perenesli match na zavtra, 13 iyunya. Skoree vsego, vtorym zapuskom na tsentralnom korte posle Barbory Kreychikovoy s Magdoy Linett ikh postavyat, okolo
13:30 msk. Daniil srazhaetsya za Semi-final Khertogenboskha s drugim chempionom US Open Medvedev spassya s matchbola and vyigral pervuyu vstrechu na trave. A v quarter-final β€” opyat dozhd
20:23 Pri etom court brezentom poka ne nakryvayut and dazhe setku ne snimayut, po-prezhnemu ubiraya vodu Β«udochkamiΒ». Ne znayu, kak esche nazyvat eto svoeobraznoe prisposoblenie, no udochka tut β€” maksimalno blizkaya assotsiatsiya
20:19 A vot teper sobrali veschi tennisisty and otpravilis v podtribunnye pomescheniya
20:17 Bolelschiki v osnovnom spryatalis pod zontiki, a tennisisty s korta ne ukhodyat poka chto
20:16 Dozhd u nas opyat nachalsya v Khertogenboskhe. Poka melkiy, and Β«udochkamiΒ» ubirayut vlagu s travy, nadeyas, chto mozhno budet prodolzhit
20:13 1 M. Chilich Obratnyy breyk Medvedeva v pyatom geyme vrode by nastroil na pozitivnyy lad, no posle etogo on vydal seriyu iz 11 proigrannykh ochkov. Kakim-to obrazom spas rossiyanin podachu s troynogo setbola and dazhe poborolsya, kogda khorvat podaval na partiyu, odnako preimuschestvo Chilicha uzhe slishkom bolshim bylo. 11/11 u Daniila, 8/8 u Marina po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam
20:11 3:6 M. Chilich Kosaya podacha and rezkiy kross s forkhenda v ugol korta navylet sledom
40:30 . Podsel rossiyanin pod myach, no vse ravno sleva v setku probil. Eto setbol na svoey podache u Chilicha
30:30 . Myagko ukorotil Medvedev sleva pod setku, posle chego sreagiroval na otvet Chilicha krossom and sygral rezanym za spinu khorvatu!
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.35 Fonbet Β· line only
1 3.20 Fonbet Β· line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.35 Fonbet Β· line only
2 +0.5 2.55 Fonbet Β· line only
1 -0.5 1.53 Fonbet Β· line only
1 +0.5 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only
Total
Over 17.5 1.45 Fonbet Β· line only
Over 18.5 2.60 Fonbet Β· line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
1.53 65.4%
1.35 74.1%
1.67 59.9%
1.12 89.3%
1.05 95.2%
2.55 39.2%
1.45 69.0%
1.60 62.5%
1.95 51.3%
2.60 38.5%
2.35 42.6%
2.90 34.5%
2.15 46.5%
5.00 20.0%
7.00 14.3%
5.30 18.9%
1.25 80.0%
1.30 76.9%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
Over 17.5 1.45 69.0%
Over 18.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 19.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 20.5 2.95 33.9%
Over 21.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 22.5 1.88 53.2%
Over 23.5 2.10 47.6%
Over 24.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 25.5 7.00 14.3%
Over 26.5 5.00 20.0%
Over 27.5 2.90 34.5%
Over 28.5 2.80 35.7%
Over 29.5 3.90 25.6%
Under 17.5 2.55 39.2%
Under 18.5 1.45 69.0%
Under 19.5 1.80 55.6%
Under 20.5 1.35 74.1%
Under 21.5 2.25 44.4%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet
3.20 31.3%
1.35 74.1%
Match center
Medvedev D. (World)
W
11.06 12:20 UTC ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Medvedev D. (World) 2:1 Boogaard T. πŸ‡³πŸ‡±Boogaard T. πŸ‡³πŸ‡±
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡·
W W
11.06 11:05 UTC ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡· 2:1 Borzhesh N. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡ΉBorzhesh N. πŸ‡΅πŸ‡Ή
08.06 10:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Khertogenbos (Netherlands), grass
Chilich M. πŸ‡­πŸ‡· 2:1 Shapovalov D. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦Shapovalov D. πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
2 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage