ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
05.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Frits T. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A

Tennis
Frits T. 🇺🇸
Frits T. 🇺🇸
3 : 0
Finished
Bublik A
Bublik A

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frits T. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A July 5, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Frits T. 🇺🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.03 / 2 11.50

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.8%
1 91.8%
2 8.2%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins3
1.6Average score1.6

Head-to-head matches: 5 · average total 3.2 (goals)

Team form

Frits T. 🇺🇸
8-2WLWWWWWWWL
scored 2.0conceded 0.8
Bublik A
6-4WLLWWLLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

ELO rating by surface • grass

Player strength by ELO

Frits T. 🇺🇸
ELO 2162 #6
hard2206
clay2056
grass2079
Best career ranking: #6
Bublik A
ELO 1864 #69
hard1883
clay1849
grass2031
Best career ranking: #20
ELO favourite (grass): Frits T. 🇺🇸 — ELO 2079 vs 2031

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Фриц Т.
High workload
  • Matches in 7 days: 3 (in 14: 3)
  • Sets in 7 days: 10
  • Rest: 1 day
Бублик А.
High workload
  • Matches in 7 days: 3 (in 14: 3)
  • Sets in 7 days: 13
  • Rest: 1 day

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Фриц Т.
12–8 (60% over last 20)
  • Hard: 5–4
  • Clay: 0–2
  • Grass: 7–2
Бублик А.
9–11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 2–3
  • Clay: 5–6
  • Grass: 2–2
Head-to-head: 2 — Frits T. 🇺🇸 1 : 1 Bublik A

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Start 05.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Match center

Frits T. 🇺🇸 - Bublik A

Form 3/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.45 market consensus · line only
1 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.75 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.93 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.95 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.82 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 30.5 1.03 Fonbet · line only
Over 31.5 1.13 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.95 51.3%
1.50 66.7%
1.87 53.5% 1.90 52.6% 1.15 87.0%
1.93 51.8%
2.08 48.1%
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 3.30 30.3%
1.75 57.1%
2.40 41.7%
4.70 21.3%
3.25 30.8%
11.50 8.7%
1.12 89.3%
1.13 88.5%
1.03 97.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 30.5 1.03 97.1%
Over 31.5 1.13 88.5%
Over 32.5 1.11 90.1%
Over 33.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 34.5 1.58 63.3%
Over 35.5 10.50 9.5%
Over 36.5 11.00 9.1%
Over 38.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 39.5 1.90 52.6%
Over 40.5 2.60 38.5%
Over 41.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 42.5 1.93 51.8% 1.93 51.8% 1.72 58.1%
Over 43.5 1.68 59.5%
Over 44.5 1.70 58.8%
Under 42.5 1.86 53.8% 1.87 53.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.03 97.1% 1.57 63.7%
2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 11.50 8.7% 2.36 42.4%
Match center
Frits T. 🇺🇸
W W W
04.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Frits T. 🇺🇸 3:1 Sonego L. 🇮🇹Sonego L. 🇮🇹
02.07 08:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Frits T. 🇺🇸 3:0 Kipson P. 🇺🇸Kipson P. 🇺🇸
30.06 12:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Frits T. 🇺🇸 3:0 Layovich D. 🇷🇸Layovich D. 🇷🇸
3 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
0.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Bublik A
W W W
04.07 13:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:2 Tiafo F. 🇺🇸Tiafo F. 🇺🇸
02.07 16:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:0 Zhake K. 🇫🇷Zhake K. 🇫🇷
30.06 09:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Bublik A 3:2 Kokkinakis T. 🇦🇺Kokkinakis T. 🇦🇺
3 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
1.3 Sets lost
100% Win percentage