ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
04.07.2026 11:30 UTC 3 round
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Tennis
Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
3 : 1
4:6 6:3 6:4 7:6
Finished
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

๐ŸŽฏ ยซConfident pickยป

1Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” 81%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

๐Ÿ’Ž ยซValueยป

2Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น โ€” odds 6.80 ยท edge +4.1% ยท 4 bookies

The model rates the probability higher than the price implies. Elevated risk/variance; the signal is not confirmed on a large sample.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น July 4, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.10 / 2 6.20

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin โ€” for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 7.0%
1 84.9%
2 15.1%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds โ€” reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

7Wins2
1.8Average score0.9

Head-to-head matches: 9 ยท average total 2.7 (goals)

Team form

Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
8-2WLWWWWWWWL
scored 2.0conceded 0.8
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
5-5LWLWLLWLWW
scored 1.4conceded 1.7

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics โ€” for reference.

Form and head-to-head โ€ข Wimbledon - Men - 3rd Round

Team stats

Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
WWLWWWWLWW
W 8 โ€ข D 0 โ€ข L 2 (10)
Goals average:1.9 : 0.8
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
LWLWLLWLWW
W 5 โ€ข D 0 โ€ข L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.4 : 1.7
Head-to-head: 9 โ€” Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 7, draws 0, Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 2 (goals 16:8)
  • Taylor Fritz โ€” Lorenzo Sonego2025-08-11 2:0
  • Taylor Fritz โ€” Lorenzo Sonego2025-03-22 2:0
  • Lorenzo Sonego โ€” Taylor Fritz2023-08-16 0:2
  • Lorenzo Sonego โ€” Taylor Fritz2021-11-02 1:2
  • Lorenzo Sonego โ€” Taylor Fritz2021-04-10 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface โ€ข grass

Player strength by ELO

Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
ELO 2162 #6
hard2206
clay2056
grass2079
Best career ranking: #6
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
ELO 1860 #75
hard1866
clay1875
grass1936
Best career ranking: #25
ELO favourite (grass): Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ โ€” ELO 2079 vs 1936

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Frits T.
Normal schedule
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 6
  • Rest: 2 days
Sonego L.
High workload
  • Matches in 7 days: 2 (in 14: 2)
  • Sets in 7 days: 9
  • Rest: 2 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Frits T.
12โ€“8 (60% over last 20)
  • Hard: 5โ€“4
  • Clay: 0โ€“2
  • Grass: 7โ€“2
Sonego L.
9โ€“11 (45% over last 20)
  • Hard: 6โ€“4
  • Clay: 2โ€“5
  • Grass: 1โ€“2
Head-to-head: 2 โ€” Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 2 : 0 Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Kort 2
Start 04.07.2026 11:30 UTC
Match center

Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ - Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น

Onlayn translyatsiya tennisnogo matches Teylor Frits - Lorentso Sonego. Uimbldon (m). Vsya informatsiya: statistika, novosti, intervyu, foto

Form 2/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.20 Fonbet ยท line only
1 1.10 Fonbet ยท line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.45 Fonbet ยท line only
1 -0.5 1.50 Fonbet ยท line only
Total
Over 34.5 1.60 Fonbet ยท line only
Over 35.5 1.80 Fonbet ยท line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.50 66.7%
1.09 91.7%
1.10 90.9%
1.20 83.3%
6.70 14.9%
1.89 52.9% 1.92 52.1% 3.95 25.3%
1.89 52.9% 1.88 53.2%
2.45 40.8%
6.00 16.7%
5.90 17.0%
3.90 25.6%
1.07 93.5%
1.20 83.3%
1.30 76.9%
1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 34.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 35.5 1.80 55.6%
Over 36.5 1.86 53.8% 1.95 51.3%
Over 37.5 1.87 53.5% 1.92 52.1% 1.95 51.3%
Over 38.5 1.95 51.3% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
Over 39.5 1.98 50.5%
Over 40.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 41.5 1.30 76.9%
Under 36.5 1.93 51.8%
Under 37.5 1.91 52.4% 1.88 53.2%
Under 38.5 1.84 54.4% 1.90 52.6%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
1.12 89.3% 1.10 90.9% 1.10 90.9% 1.12 89.3%
6.30 15.9% 6.80 14.7% 6.20 16.1% 6.00 16.7%
Match center
Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
W W
02.07 08:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 3:0 Kipson P. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธKipson P. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ
30.06 12:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Frits T. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ 3:0 Layovich D. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธLayovich D. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡ธ
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น
W W
02.07 08:00 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 3:2 Diallo G. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆDiallo G. ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฆ
30.06 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Sonego L. ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡น 3:1 Etcheverri T.-M. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ทEtcheverri T.-M. ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท
2 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
1.5 Sets lost
100% Win percentage