ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
03.07.2026 09:30 UTC 3 round
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪 - Medvedev D. (World)

Tennis
Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
3 : 0
7:6 7:6 7:5
Finished
Medvedev D. (World)
Medvedev D. (World)
Match signals

Two independent model estimates. Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

🎯 «Confident pick»

2Medvedev D. (World)78%

The most likely outcome per the model. Reliability, NOT a profit guarantee.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪 - Medvedev D. (World) July 3, 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Medvedev D. (World). We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.92 / 2 1.88

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.3%
1 49.5%
2 50.5%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Head-to-head

2Wins10
0.7Average score1.8

Head-to-head matches: 12 · average total 2.5 (goals)

Team form

Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
6-4LWLWLWLWWW
scored 1.7conceded 1.6
Medvedev D. (World)
6-4LLWWLWWLWW
scored 1.8conceded 1.2

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Wimbledon - Men - 3rd Round

Team stats

Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
LLWLWLWLWW
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.5 : 1.8
Medvedev D. (World)
LLWWLWWLWW
W 6 • D 0 • L 4 (10)
Goals average:1.8 : 1.2
Head-to-head: 10 — Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪 1, draws 0, Medvedev D. (World) 9 (goals 6:20)
  • Daniil Medvedev — Jan-Lennard Struff2025-02-25 2:0
  • Daniil Medvedev — Jan-Lennard Struff2025-02-14 2:0
  • Jan-Lennard Struff — Daniil Medvedev2024-07-05 1:3
  • Daniil Medvedev — Jan-Lennard Struff2021-12-04 2:0
  • Jan-Lennard Struff — Daniil Medvedev2021-06-29 1:3

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface • grass

Player strength by ELO

Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
ELO 1984 #29
hard1862
clay2073
grass1992
Best career ranking: #17
Medvedev D. (World)
ELO 2184 #5
hard2230
clay2060
grass2161
Best career ranking: #2
ELO favourite (grass): Medvedev D. (World) — ELO 2161 vs 1992

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

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Match center
Stadium Vseangliyskiy klub laun-tennisa i kroketa. Kort 3
Start 03.07.2026 09:30 UTC
Match center

Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪 - Medvedev D. (World)

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty tennisnogo matches Yan-Lennard Shtruff - Daniil Medvedev, 03 iyulya 2026. Uimbldon (m). Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Yan-Lennard Shtruff - Daniil Medvedev, kto pobedil.

Form 1/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Championat

Match flow

Source

Daniil razocharovan — v poslednee vremya na meydzhorakh on ne dokhodit do vtoroy nedeli «Ranshe ya khorosho nakhodil resheniya, kogda stavki vysoki». Medvedev — o vylete s Uimbldona Daniil lidiroval s odnim or dvumya breykami v kazhdom iz sets, no vse ravno umudrilsya proigrat 0:3 «Tipichno dlya takogo bezumtsa». Nepostizhimyy vylet Medvedeva s Uimbldona shokiroval vsekh 3:0 Ya. Shtruff Eto uzhe kakoy-to festival absurdnogo Losses poluchilsya, konechno. Vtoroy breyk sdelal Daniil s 30:0, vedya 4:2, eysom zarabotal dvoynoy setbol — a dalshe dve dvoynye podryad sdelal, potom probil ot stolba chut nizhe setki and ushel v rezhim passivnoy Games, v itoge otdav pyat games kryadu, v tom chisle tri na svoey podache! 39/32 u Med

10:33 Daniil razocharovan — v poslednee vremya na meydzhorakh on ne dokhodit do vtoroy nedeli «Ranshe ya khorosho nakhodil resheniya, kogda stavki vysoki». Medvedev — o vylete s Uimbldona
22:12 Daniil lidiroval s odnim or dvumya breykami v kazhdom iz sets, no vse ravno umudrilsya proigrat 0:3 «Tipichno dlya takogo bezumtsa». Nepostizhimyy vylet Medvedeva s Uimbldona shokiroval vsekh
19:10 3:0 Ya. Shtruff Eto uzhe kakoy-to festival absurdnogo Losses poluchilsya, konechno. Vtoroy breyk sdelal Daniil s 30:0, vedya 4:2, eysom zarabotal dvoynoy setbol — a dalshe dve dvoynye podryad sdelal, potom probil ot stolba chut nizhe setki and ushel v rezhim passivnoy Games, v itoge otdav pyat games kryadu, v tom chisle tri na svoey podache! 39/32 u Medvedeva po udaram navylet / nevynuzhdennym oshibkam za match, 47/42 u Shtruffa. V tretem sete bylo 15/13 u Daniila and 18/14 u Yan-Lennarda. Nemetskiy tennisist v 36 let vpervye v karere vykhodit v round of 16 Uimbldona, gde sygraet libo s Khubertom Khurkachem, libo s Tommi Polom. A ya, Artem Taymanov, na etom proschayus s vami. Spasibo za vnimanie, esche uvidimsya! Na mat
19:09 7:5 Ya. Shtruff I esche odna dvoynaya…
19:09 🔥 Matchbol. Obmenyalis tennisisty glubokimi rezanymi udarami, posle chego Shtruff zdorovo obostril, probiv obratnym krossom sprava v ugol korta navylet!
40:40 . Otvalilsya Daniil ot myacha and otvetil na priem Yan-Lennarda v seredinu setki
40:30 . Ostreyshaya podacha po tsentralnoy linii — takoe ne beretsya!
30:30 . Perekhodit v kontrataku Shtruff, plotnyy forkhend po linii vypolnyaet — Medvedev sprava v setku otvechaet
30:15 . Dvoynaya oshibka
19:07 30:0. Otlichnaya kosaya podacha
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.88 Fonbet · line only
1 1.92 Fonbet · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.73 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.85 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.00 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.90 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 32.5 1.52 Fonbet · line only
Over 33.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
1.90 52.6%
2.10 47.6%
1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1%
2.00 50.0%
1.85 54.1%
1.63 61.4%
1.72 58.1%
1.92 52.1%
1.95 51.3%
2.20 45.5%
2.25 44.4%
2.90 34.5%
3.55 28.2%
1.73 57.8%
1.71 58.5%
2.10 47.6% 2.08 48.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
Over 32.5 1.52 65.8%
Over 33.5 1.60 62.5%
Over 34.5 1.62 61.7%
Over 35.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 36.5 1.95 51.3% 1.92 52.1% 1.80 55.6%
Over 37.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 38.5 2.02 49.5%
Over 39.5 2.15 46.5%
Over 40.5 2.35 42.6%
Over 46.5 1.70 58.8%
Over 47.5 1.75 57.1%
Over 48.5 1.95 51.3%
Over 49.5 1.72 58.1%
Over 50.5 1.78 56.2%
Under 36.5 1.84 54.4% 1.88 53.2%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
4.90 20.4% 5.10 19.6% 1.92 52.1% 4.80 20.8%
1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.88 53.2% 1.17 85.5%
Match center
Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪
W
01.07 11:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Shtruff Ya-L. 🇩🇪 3:2 Nakasima B. 🇺🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage
Medvedev D. (World)
W
01.07 09:30 UTC ATP - Singles: Uimbldon (Velikobritaniya), grass
Medvedev D. (World) 3:1 Merida Agilar D. 🇪🇸Merida Agilar D. 🇪🇸
1 Wins
0 Losses
3.0 Sets won
1.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage