PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Match prediction

Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 - Merida Aguilar D

Tennis ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay clay 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
15.07.2026 09:00 MSK Finished
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷
Merida Aguilar D
Merida Aguilar D
W
0:2
Odds
P1 1.61 59.6% BetBoom
P2 2.37 40.5% BetBoom
Coverage: clay
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

- Country -
- Rating -
- Age -
- Height (cm) -
- Weight (kg) -
- Hand -
- Seed -
clay Coverage clay
0 H2H 0
🎯 PropickAI prediction
Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

PropickAI model · comparison with the market line (no margin)

1 Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 — 59%

Pure model vs market (1 · Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷): model 48% · market 60% Δ −12 pp model estimates below the market

1 · Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷58.7%
market60%
2 · Merida Aguilar D41.3%
market40%

Model estimate: win Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 58.7%, win Merida Aguilar D 41.3%. Model favourite — Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 (odds1.61) confidence 54% ✗ outcome missed

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 - Merida Aguilar D 15 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷.

Line favourite market consensus: Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (market consensus): 1 1.61 / 2 2.37
  • Glicko: Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 58.7% / Merida Aguilar D 41.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 4.3%
1 59.5%
2 40.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷

no data

Merida Aguilar D
5-5LWWLLLWWWL
scored 1.2conceded 1.3

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Match center
Start 15.07.2026 09:00 MSK
Coverage clay
Form 6 matches
Match center

Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 - Merida Aguilar D

В базе учтены недавние матчи обоих участников.

Form 3/1 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants Line Overview
More needed
H2H Championat, Flashscore
Tournament Championat, Flashscore
Movement Line history
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 0:2
Events 0
Statistics 0
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 59.9% 58.7% market and model agree
Merida Aguilar D 40.2% 41.3%
1X2: 3 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 58.7% / 41.3% probabilities
Rating 1,433 / 1,583 Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 / Merida Aguilar D
RD 222 / 169 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 988-1,878 / 1,246-1,920 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.34 market consensus · no value · model 41.3%
1 1.58 market consensus · no value · model 58.7%
Total
Over 22.5 1.91 market consensus · line only
Over 23.5 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 -1.5 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.80 55.6%
П1 -2.5 1.85 54.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.93 51.8%
П2 +1.5 1.95 51.3% 1.87 53.5% 1.99 50.3%
П2 +2.5 1.89 52.9% 1.90 52.6% 1.84 54.4%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
ТБ 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.90 52.6% 1.91 52.4%
ТБ 23.5 — 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5%
ТМ 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.90 52.6% 1.86 53.8%
ТМ 23.5 — 1.85 54.1% 1.81 55.3%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Leon
П1 1.55 64.5% 1.59 62.9% 1.61 62.1%
П2 2.35 42.6% 2.37 42.2% 2.29 43.7%
Match center
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷
L L W
30.06 11:30 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Уимблдон (Великобритания), трава
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 1:3 Сонего Л. (Ита)Сонего Л. (Ита)
24.05 10:50 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Открытый чемпионат Франции (Франция), грунт
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 0:3 Боржеш Н. (Пор)Боржеш Н. (Пор)
18.05 09:30 UTC+0 ATP - ОДИНОЧНЫЙ РАЗРЯД: Гамбург (Германия), грунт
Etcheverri T.-M. 🇦🇷 2:0 Атман Т. (Фра)Атман Т. (Фра)
1 Wins
2 Losses
1.0 Sets won
2.0 Sets lost
33% Win percentage
Merida Aguilar D
W
14.07 17:00 МСК ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
Merida Aguilar D 2:0 Sesko Z. 🇸🇮Sesko Z. 🇸🇮
1 Wins
0 Losses
2.0 Sets won
0.0 Sets lost
100% Win percentage