PropickAI PropickAI
Sign in Sign up
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
1-й круг 14.07.2026 13:30 UTC Match prediction

Gomes F. 🇦🇷 - MakDonald N. 🇩🇪

Tennis ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay
ATP - Singles: Umag (Croatia), clay 1-й круг Грунт 14.07.2026 13:30 UTC Finished
14.07.2026 13:30 UTC 1-й круг Finished
Gomes F. 🇦🇷
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 Аргентина Seed 209
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 Германия Seed 505
2:0 6:3 7:6
1 2 GP
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 6 7 2
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 3 6 0
1 2
Odds
P1 3.70 35.8% BetBoom
P2 2.06 64.2% BetBoom
Stadium: Стелла Марис. Первый корт Coverage: Грунт
Preview Statistics Broadcast Comments

About the athletes

Аргентина Country Германия
- Rating -
29 Age 18
191 Height (cm) 191
95 Weight (kg) 75
Right Hand Right
209 Seed 505
Грунт Coverage Грунт
C 0 H2H 0

Form over the last year

Gomes F. 🇦🇷
0% 0 / 2
0% 0 / 2
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
0 из 1
Трава
no data
Хард
0 из 1
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
0% 0 / 0
0% 0 / 0
Синтетика
no data
Грунт
no data
Трава
no data
Хард
no data

Head-to-head history

Умаг
🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Gomes F. 🇦🇷 — 53%

Pure model vs market (1 · Gomes F. 🇦🇷): model 49% · market 26% Δ +23 pp model estimates above the market

1 · Gomes F. 🇦🇷53.1%
2 · MakDonald N. 🇩🇪46.9%

Model estimate: win Gomes F. 🇦🇷 53.1%, win MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 46.9%. Model favourite — Gomes F. 🇦🇷.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

AI agent prediction

Independent AI-agent assessment from our data (model, market line, form, H2H)

1Gomes F. 🇦🇷 (odds1.73) Score 2:1 confidence 53% ✓ outcome correct
  • • Гомес Ф
  • • (Арг) — МакДоналд Н
  • • (Гер) (теннис)
  • • Гомес Ф
  • • (Арг): форма ВВППВ (3-2)
  • • МакДоналд Н
  • • (Гер): форма ПВВПВ (3-2)
  • • Модель ставит на Гомес Ф
  • • (Арг): вероятность 53% против 57% по линии (кэф 1.77)
  • ✓ перевеса над линией нет (-4 пп) — прогноз информационный.

Analytical AI-agent assessment, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Gomes F. 🇦🇷 - MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 14 июля 2026

Tennis math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like MakDonald N. 🇩🇪.

Line favourite Fonbet: MakDonald N. 🇩🇪. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 3.70 / 2 1.28
  • Glicko: Gomes F. 🇦🇷 53.1% / MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 46.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 25.7%
2 74.3%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

For reference

Line movement

How the odds changed from opening to the current line — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Победитель П1 1.78 ↑ 3.70
Победитель П2 2.03 ↓ 1.28

↓ odds shortened (money on this outcome), ↑ drifted (line weakened). For reference, not a betting recommendation.

AI

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1
Agreement 1/1
Confidence 62.0%

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

AI overview

AI predictions

AI analysis:6/7 ready · Still preparing:DeepSeek

Google AI updated14.07.2026 14:33 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 21.5 Bet:Победа Гомеса Ф.
Per AI data Form:WWLWL / LWWLL H2H: 0-0
ChatGPT updated13.07.2026 06:47 UTC
1 56% ✓ favourite
2 44%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1
Claude updated14.07.2026 14:38 UTC
1 57% ✓ favourite
2 43%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа Гомеса (П1)
Qwen updated14.07.2026 14:36 UTC
1 45%
2 55% ✓ favourite
Score1:2 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:Победа МакДоналда Н. (П2)
Per AI data H2H: 0-0
Kimi updated14.07.2026 14:40 UTC
1 58% ✓ favourite
2 42%
Score2:1 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1 (Гомес Ф.А.)
Per AI data Form:L W L L L / W W W L L
GLM 5.2 updated14.07.2026 14:42 UTC
1 65% ✓ favourite
2 35%
Score2:0 Total games: ТБ 22.5 Bet:П1 (Победа Гомеса)
Per AI data Form:W-W-W-W-L

AI consensus:1

AI 1 2 Score Total games Bet
Google AI 58% 42% 2:1 ТБ 21.5 Победа Гомеса Ф.
ChatGPT 56% 44% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 П1
Claude 57% 43% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 Победа Гомеса (П1)
Qwen 45% 55% 1:2 ТБ 22.5 Победа МакДоналда Н. (П2)
Kimi 58% 42% 2:1 ТБ 22.5 П1 (Гомес Ф.А.)
GLM 5.2 65% 35% 2:0 ТБ 22.5 П1 (Победа Гомеса)
Match center
Stadium Стелла Марис. Первый корт
Start 14.07.2026 13:30 UTC
Stage 1-й круг
Coverage Грунт
Form 9 matches
H2H 3
Match center

Gomes F. 🇦🇷 - MakDonald N. 🇩🇪

Онлайн трансляция теннисного матча Федерико-Агустин Гомес - Нильс Макдональд. Умаг. Вся информация: статистика, новости, интервью, фото

Form 1/2 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 2 model / bookmakers
Flashscore match data source checked
Odds match data source checked
Championat match data source checked
Bookiesapi match data source checked
Line depth match data source checked
Donor check 1 block. officials
Present in data
Market Form Match Participants H2H Tournament Lineup / squad Line
More needed
Referees source needed
Post-match / PropickAI database
Score 2:0
Events 0
Statistics 0
Set Gomes F. 🇦🇷 MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 Result
Set 0 6 3 6:3
Set 1 7 6 7:6
Market and Glicko

Tennis math model. Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 53.6% 53.1% market and model agree
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪 46.4% 46.9%
1X2: 4 Bookies

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Tennis math model
P1 / P2 53.1% / 46.9% probabilities
Rating 1,728 / 1,770 Gomes F. 🇦🇷 / MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
RD 182 / 163 rating uncertainty
r +/- 2RD 1,365-2,091 / 1,443-2,096 strength interval
HFA: 0 HFA mu: 0.000 MoV: on N: N=1 P: two_way_glicko2_expected_score

Best value: value не найден

Tennis without draws: the base signal comes from player rating, surface, form, serve/return and tournament fatigue. For live logic the set state and who is serving matter more than the overall points score.

Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.28 Fonbet · no value · model 46.9%
1 3.70 Fonbet · weak value +96.7% · model 53.1%
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.10 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 2.25 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 1.57 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.37 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.65 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
П1 -0.5 1.82 55.0% — 1.65 60.6%
П1 -1.5 1.89 52.9% 1.98 50.5% —
П2 +0.5 1.92 52.1% — 2.25 44.4%
П2 +1.5 1.85 54.1% 1.83 54.6% 2.45 40.8%
П2 +2.5 — — 1.43 69.9%
П2 +3.5 — — 1.63 61.4%
П2 +4.5 — — 2.05 48.8%
П2 +5.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
П2 -0.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
П2 -1.5 — — 1.95 51.3%
П2 -2.5 — — 1.75 57.1%
П2 -3.5 — — 1.55 64.5%
П2 -4.5 — — 1.35 74.1%

Total

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 — — 1.37 73.0%
ТБ 20.5 — — 1.65 60.6%
ТБ 21.5 — — 1.88 53.2%
ТБ 22.5 1.92 52.1% 1.98 50.5% 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 23.5 1.96 51.0% 1.98 50.5% 2.35 42.6%
ТБ 24.5 — — 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 25.5 — — 2.45 40.8%
ТБ 26.5 — — 2.75 36.4%
ТМ 19.5 — — 2.85 35.1%
ТМ 20.5 — — 2.10 47.6%
ТМ 22.5 1.82 55.0% 1.83 54.6% —
ТМ 23.5 1.79 55.9% 1.83 54.6% —

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Baltbet Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 1.73 57.8% 1.76 56.8% 3.70 27.0% 1.77 56.5%
П2 2.03 49.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.28 78.1% 2.02 49.5%
Match center
Gomes F. 🇦🇷
D
13.07.2026 Championat
Gomes F. 🇦🇷 8 В. Вит Коприва (Чехия) 0 1 3 — Д. Дино Прижмич (Хорватия) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage
MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
D D
13.07.2026 Championat
LD К. Кириян Жаке (Франция) 0 2 3 — М. Марко Трунгеллити (Аргентина) 2 6 6 · 1-й круг MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
13.07.2026 Championat
Д. Душан Лайович (Сербия) 1 6 5 4 — Л. Люка Ван Аш MakDonald N. 🇩🇪
0 Wins
0 Losses
- Sets won
- Sets lost
0% Win percentage