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ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
06.07.2026 06:00 UTC Match prediction
06.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Basilashvili N - Gaubas V. 🇱🇹

Tennis
Basilashvili N
Basilashvili N
1 : 2
Finished
Gaubas V. 🇱🇹
Gaubas V. 🇱🇹

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Basilashvili N - Gaubas V. 🇱🇹 6 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Gaubas V. 🇱🇹. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 13.00 / 2 1.01

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.7%
1 7.2%
2 92.8%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Basilashvili N
7-3WWWWWLLLWW
scored 1.5conceded 0.9
Gaubas V. 🇱🇹
4-6WLLWLWWLLL
scored 1.1conceded 1.5

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Braunschweig

Team stats

Basilashvili N
WWLLLWWLLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1 : 1.2
Gaubas V. 🇱🇹
WWLLLLWWWL
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.6
Head-to-head: 1 — Basilashvili N 0, draws 0, Gaubas V. 🇱🇹 1 (goals 1:2)
  • Villius Gaubas — Nikoloz Basilashvili2024-07-27 2:1

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface • clay

Player strength by ELO

Basilashvili N
ELO 1672 #133
hard1608
clay1635
grass1608
Gaubas V. 🇱🇹
ELO 1581 #191
hard1560
clay1535
grass1529
ELO favourite (clay): Basilashvili N — ELO 1635 vs 1535

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Match workload

Fatigue and schedule

Basilashvili N
No matches in 3 weeks
Гаубас В.
Fresh
  • Matches in 7 days: 1 (in 14: 1)
  • Sets in 7 days: 3
  • Rest: 5 days

Workload computed from matches played in our database (singles only, doubles excluded). For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Басилашвили Н.
8–12 (40% over last 20)
  • Hard: 3–5
  • Clay: 4–5
  • Grass: 1–2
Гаубас В.
6–6 (50% over last 12)
  • Clay: 6–6

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Start 06.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Basilashvili N - Gaubas V. 🇱🇹

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.01 Fonbet · line only
1 2.29 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.60 Fonbet · line only
2 +0.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only
1 -0.5 2.20 Fonbet · line only
1 +0.5 2.02 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 19.5 1.55 Fonbet · line only
Over 20.5 1.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 +0.5 2.02 49.5%
П1 +1.5 2.50 40.0%
П1 +2.5 2.07 48.3%
П1 +3.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 +4.5 5.50 18.2%
П1 +5.5 1.13 88.5%
П1 -0.5 2.20 45.5%
П2 +0.5 1.70 58.8%
П2 +1.5 1.47 68.0%
П2 +2.5 1.67 59.9%
П2 +3.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 +4.5 1.10 90.9%
П2 +5.5 4.80 20.8%
П2 -0.5 1.60 62.5%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 19.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.70 58.8%
ТБ 21.5 1.63 61.4%
ТБ 22.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 23.5 2.02 49.5%
ТБ 24.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 25.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 26.5 1.78 56.2%
ТБ 27.5 1.87 53.5%
ТБ 28.5 2.05 48.8%
ТБ 29.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 30.5 1.13 88.5%
ТБ 31.5 5.50 18.2%
ТБ 32.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 19.5 2.30 43.5%
ТМ 20.5 2.02 49.5%
ТМ 21.5 2.13 47.0%
ТМ 22.5 1.70 58.8%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Betcity Fonbet Leon
П1 2.23 44.8% 13.00 7.7% 2.34 42.7%
П2 1.61 62.1% 1.01 99.0% 1.53 65.4%