ATP. Umag. Clay
ATP. Umag. Clay
06.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Finished

ATP. Umag. Clay

Dere L. 🇷🇸 - Bueno G. 🇵🇪

Tennis
D
Dere L. 🇷🇸
2 : 0
Finished
Bueno G. 🇵🇪
Bueno G. 🇵🇪

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Dere L. 🇷🇸 - Bueno G. 🇵🇪 6 июля 2026

Tennis math model

The summary is built from our prematch context: line, form, lineups and Glicko.

Line favourite Fonbet: Dere L. 🇷🇸. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • Win odds (Fonbet): 1 1.01 / 2 14.00

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
Winner bookmaker margin 6.2%
1 93.3%
2 6.7%

Odds source: Fonbet. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Head-to-head and form stats

Head-to-head and form

Team form

Dere L. 🇷🇸
7-3LWWWWWWWLL
scored 1.5conceded 0.8
Bueno G. 🇵🇪
6-4WWLWWWWLLL
scored 1.3conceded 1.1

Head-to-head and recent form per sports statistics — for reference.

Form and head-to-head • Braunschweig

Team stats

Dere L. 🇷🇸
WLLLWWWLWL
W 5 • D 0 • L 5 (10)
Goals average:1.3 : 1.3
Bueno G. 🇵🇪
WWLLLLWWLL
W 4 • D 0 • L 6 (10)
Goals average:1.1 : 1.2

Form, head-to-head and league position: 365scores. For reference.

ELO rating by surface • clay

Player strength by ELO

Dere L. 🇷🇸
ELO 1704 #107
hard1617
clay1715
grass1575
Bueno G. 🇵🇪
ELO 1491 #276
hard1314
clay1469
grass1445
ELO favourite (clay): Dere L. 🇷🇸 — ELO 1715 vs 1469

ELO ratings by surface: Ultimate Tennis Statistics / Tennis Abstract. For reference.

Form and surface

Recent matches

Дьере Л.
5–15 (25% over last 20)
  • Hard: 0–5
  • Clay: 4–6
  • Grass: 1–4
Bueno G. 🇵🇪
No main-tour data

Form, surface stats and head-to-head: tennis-data.co.uk (ATP/WTA main tour). For reference.

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Match center
Start 06.07.2026 06:00 UTC
Match center

Dere L. 🇷🇸 - Bueno G. 🇵🇪

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.30 market consensus · line only
1 1.01 Fonbet · line only
Total
Over 13.5 1.72 Fonbet · line only
Over 14.5 4.70 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Открыть на Fonbet →
bookmaker line and markets

Handicap

Outcome Fonbet
П1 -10.5 2.00 50.0%
П1 -2.5 1.55 64.5%
П1 -3.5 1.73 57.8%
П1 -4.5 1.80 55.6%
П1 -5.5 2.20 45.5%
П1 -6.5 1.72 58.1%
П1 -7.5 1.10 90.9%
П1 -8.5 2.95 33.9%
П1 -9.5 1.13 88.5%
П2 -10.5 1.72 58.1%
П2 -2.5 2.30 43.5%
П2 -3.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -4.5 1.90 52.6%
П2 -5.5 1.60 62.5%
П2 -6.5 2.00 50.0%
П2 -7.5 5.50 18.2%
П2 -8.5 1.35 74.1%
П2 -9.5 4.70 21.3%

Total

Outcome Fonbet
ТБ 13.5 1.72 58.1%
ТБ 14.5 4.70 21.3%
ТБ 15.5 1.35 74.1%
ТБ 16.5 5.30 18.9%
ТБ 17.5 2.65 37.7%
ТБ 18.5 2.30 43.5%
ТБ 19.5 1.55 64.5%
ТБ 20.5 1.90 52.6%
ТБ 21.5 2.10 47.6%
ТБ 22.5 2.20 45.5%
ТБ 23.5 2.45 40.8%
ТМ 13.5 2.00 50.0%
ТМ 14.5 1.13 88.5%
ТМ 15.5 2.95 33.9%
ТМ 16.5 1.11 90.1%
ТМ 17.5 1.42 70.4%
ТМ 18.5 1.55 64.5%
ТМ 19.5 2.30 43.5%

Outcome (1X2)

Outcome Fonbet Leon
П1 1.01 99.0% 1.29 77.5%
П2 14.00 7.1% 3.30 30.3%